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Breaking Down the Arizona Cardinals Running Game Through Five Weeks

After a feeble attempt to break down the Arizona Cardinals running game a couple of weeks ago, it became pretty apparent that one week's worth of stats wouldn't tell much of a story. That naturally led to looking at the cummulative season stats on both Edgerrin James and Tim Hightower. The running game as a whole has has been a mixed bag of results so far, when compared to years past. The good news is that they've been surprisingly effective around the goal line with eight touchdowns on the ground through five games, which is only one short of last year's total. The not-so-good news is that even though they're averaging more yards per game (94.2 yards per game in '08 to 90.0 ypg in '07), they're averaging less yards per carry (3.3 ypc in '08 to 3.6 in '07). Granted the lower yards per carry could be some what contributal to more goal line carries or the number could also be hampered by seven quarterback kneel downs through five games. With all that being said, here's how Edge and Hightower have fared through five games.

Star-divide

__of_runs_by_direction_medium

The number of carries up the middle shouldn't be too surprising considering that both running backs are 'speed-challenged.' I was somewhat surprised by James' high number of carries behind left tackle but after looking back at the numbers, nine of those carries came in the Buffalo game. That was the only game in which he ran behind LT more often than any other direction. It's hard to tell much about Hightower's carries because he's only got 36 on the season but nearly a third of them been straight up the middle.

Average_yards_per_carry_medium

A couple of things jumped out at me after compiling all the stats. First, I was surprised at how well Edge ran the ball to the outside and the entire right side. Some of the success to the outside could be because it surprises a defense or maybe the blocking is just better on the edges. It's also pretty clear that perhaps Edge isn't the right guy to be carrying the ball straight up the middle. As for Hightower, his average is skewed because of his 17 yard touchdown around the left end against the Bills. The only direction that he's got any significant carries is up the middle, where he's been pretty effective.

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It's might be still to early in the season to make an definitive statements about who should run the ball and where but we'll keep an eye on how the stats play out as the season progresses. During the bye week we can also look at how each back runs on different downs, different quarters and other situations. So if there are any situational stats you'd like to see, let me know and I'll see if I can get it done. What about these stats though? Is Edge still the clear-cut #1 back? Has Hightower shown the potential to be the #1 in the future?

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i'll say it again

timmy just needs some experience to get his momentum going. he is the next marion barber II and he will no doubt be taking notes next week. edge is on the decline and you all no how much of a “U” fan I am so this is very tough for me.

by hevchv on Oct 7, 2008 4:56 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Isn't Marion Barber III the next Marion Barber II?

Sorry, couldn’t resist…

I agree and predict that Tim will be the featured back next year, coupled with a speedy draft pick. Edge will be cut after refusing to take a pay cut.

by AJ BirdWatcher on Oct 7, 2008 5:20 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

took the words right out of my mouth

Hopefully Timmy is up to at least a 50/50 split by the end of the season, but I’ll make one minor tweak in your statement. The best case scenerio for the Cardinals would be to save that draft pick and for JJ to turn into that speedy back that he was drafted to be. Granted it’s a very long shot but we’ve still got 11 games (and hopefully an extra game or two in 2009 if you know what I mean) for him to prove his mettle. But the bottom line is I hope Timmy gets as many carries as he can this season so he can be ready to roll next year.

Do you have your eye on any speedy backs that will be in the draft this year? I’ve seen Javon Ringer (Michigan State) play a couple times and he looks pretty good but he’s the only one that comes to mind.

by cgolden on Oct 7, 2008 9:15 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1 on JJ

I shouldn’t have left him out because that would be ideal. I’m not sure yet if he can be the guy or not. If he does end up with a break out year, I wonder how much money he will be looking for if they renew his contract.

I don’t pay enough attention to college ball to be analyzing draft picks.

by AJ BirdWatcher on Oct 8, 2008 6:49 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

. o O (College football, is that the game with the stripes on the ball?)

Mike Maynock comes to my rescue on college football prospects starting the day after the Cardinals’ season is over.

Tim Hightower will be pushing the 50/50 level of touches by the season’s end. He’s already getting touches outside of the red zone and is making the best of it. When he hits the open field he runs with authority. Edge hits the open field and tends to fall over from the shock of it. I agree with the comments above that Hightower will be the #1 back next year; Edge will be a casualty of the salary cap to free up money for the free agents/underpaid on the roster.

JJ, JJ, JJ…hard to believe that he was drafted in the second round of both the NFL draft and my fantasy football league’s draft in hindsight. If Edge goes Arrington should be pursued to remain on the roster. He should come relatively cheaply with a lot of esculators in his contract in case he does become more of a featured back. The Cards will need to draft another RB as well and will likely find a veteren RB to add to the committee since the Cards could become a run-first team if Warner retires after this season…

We all leave footprints in the sands of time, just watch out for the discarded fish hooks!

by Hawkwind on Oct 8, 2008 7:22 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

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