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An Uncapped Year and the Cardinals

I know that the Cardinals are in the midst of a tightening run for the playoffs but I like to step back from time to time and look at the big picture.  Here is one forward glance at this off season and Free Agency and the likely uncapped year.

The players association and the league have until March 2010 to agree upon a new Collective Bargain Agreement (CBA) or 2010 will be an uncapped year.  I still think there is at least a minimal chance that an agreement will be worked out before then, but the odds are not good.  An uncapped year has conjured the image of free agents being chased by owners with buckets of money. Karlos Dansby certainly seems to be hoping to find his pot of gold. Yet the terms for an uncapped year under the current CBA could quite likely bring the opposite effect.  There are several rules that are built into the 2010 uncapped year that will drastically affect free agency and the Cardinals.  Here are a few details in an uncapped year that I thought especially noteworthy.

In the current CBA we are all aware of a salary cap.  What many do not know is that there is also a salary floor as well. Teams are required to spend a certain amount on payroll.  An uncapped year not only means that the cap will be gone but also that the floor will also be gone.  Thus teams who want to dump salary and live on the cheep will be able to do so.  This will likely flood the market with released players who are over paid and under performing.  Couple this with teams who now do not have to worry about spending money to keep their payroll above the minimum and it becomes a buyer's market really fast.  Teams may find declining veterans on the cheep and players who were hoping for a big payoff may be disappointed. For sure, Washington, or some other like-minded owner will pay somebody but I think it will be a buyer's market.

Normally early-round draftees can become an unrestricted free agent after their 4th year.  Under the CBA an uncapped year changes the rules and players cannot become unrestricted until they have been in the league for 6 years.  Again this favors the owners who now have rights to quality players for another two years, and decreasing their FA needs. 

The final four playoff teams in each conference will only be able to sign one FA for each FA lost. In other words if the Cards finish as one of the final four in the NFC and if they decide to cut Rolle they could not replace his position with a FA (because he is not a FA in 2010) unless they replace another cut FA with someone currently on the roster or a rookie. 

Teams also gain an additional franchise tag and transition tag to use give teams more latitude.

One other point worth noting that is not directly connected to the current CBA but appears to be a side affect of an anticipated future CBA.  There will likely be salary restrictions of some sort for early 1st round rookies in any future CBA.  The owners have made that one of their keys issues.  No more Ryan-type of money for rookies who have never played a down in the NFL.  With that assumption out there, talented college players will likely enter the draft early hoping to get a better pay check before the new rules kick in.  This will make for a strong draft and allow owners to feel less need to keep a declining veteran.

When you sum all of this up it appears to be a really bad year for a player who is hoping to get a Haynesworth-type pay day.   That is why I think the PA is motivated, if not hopeful,  to get a CBA in place before March.  It is also why I think that there is a good chance that Dansby will end up resigning with the Cards after he realizes the pot of gold isn't out there.

All of that said, how will an uncapped year impact the Cardinals 2010 off season? I listed the players that would still be FA and a few other key off-season issues the Cardinals will have to deal with. I tried to list them in the order I thought most important.

1-       Ken Whizenhunt: I know this is not directly related to an uncapped year but...Whiz will be in the final year of his 4 year contract.  A lucrative extension should be a for-gone conclusion.  Pay the man!

2-       Neil Rackers:  Neil will be a FA in 2010.  The Cardinals have to resign him.  He is one of the most consistent kickers in the NFL.   

3-       Antrel Rolle: His contract has him potentially getting paid over 10 mil in 2010.  Not going to happen.  The contract was written to force the Cards to renegotiate with him and it will do just that.  Based on his play thus far, I would find a way to resign him for several more years, but it is not worth over paying him.  Ware (hopefully) and R. Johnson are in the wings if Rolle will not renegotiate. I am not convinced he would find a pot of gold if the Cardinals cut him.

4-       Karlos Dansby: I think there is still a 50% chance he will resign.  The uncapped year may not be as kind to Dansby as he hopes.  A fair deal from the Cards and a few weeks on the market may convince Dansby the grass is greenest in Arizona.  If not, I am not hitting the panic button although there is no heir-apparent on the roster.

5-       Monte Beisel: Speaking of depth at LB... another year or two for Beisel would be good.  He is a solid vet who can provide depth at ILB and OLB.  I do not think Highsmith will be on the 2010 squad. 

6-       Matt Ware: May be the most versatile back-up in the secondary. Especially if Rolle is cut, Ware needs to be resigned. 

7-       Chike Okeafar: A chronic bad back is a sign of a career in decline.  Still he is a solid OLB and I would like to keep him around for security until the young crop of OLB are ready, although W. Davis has shown promise.  A 1 yr contract would be good and should be at the vet min.

8-       Bryan Robinson: Great veteran leader but 2009 may be his last year.  I would not oppose a 1 year contract if all parties can be benefited.  There are a handful of quality NT in the 2010 draft... With Branch emerging and Watson still in the fold one wonders if there will be room for Robinson in 2010.  The draft may impact this decision more than anything

9-       Jerheme Urban: Looks like he has fallen to the 5th receiver, still I think the Cardinals will want to resign him especially if Boldin is traded, but he may look for a more prominent position on another team. Onrea Jones is still waiting in the wings and this should be a deep WR draft.

10-   Anquan Boldin:... What to do? Cards will offer a fair-market-value deal.  Boldin will be offended and feel like he got the shaft right in the back.  Cards will shop him leading up to the Draft although they will not say it publically.  In the end they will get a 2nd and 5th pick or maybe a future 1st.  The pundits will have a field day about how the Cards could have gotten more for him in 2009 if they had been willing to negotiate. Yet if the draft shapes up to be as strong as it is looking, a couple of middle round picks for Boldin would be a great deal.  Personally, I think Boldin would be wise to take a 3-4 year deal with the Cards, get paid for what he is worth, and be happy to be playing in the desert.  Life isn't always better elsewhere.

11-   Anthony Becht: I think he is worth another 1 year contract.  He is average but for the Cardinals, average seems to be acceptable at TE.  Vet min.

12-   Jeremy Bridges: If affordable then he might get another year.  It depends on whether Grimm feels H. Johnson could fill his utility OL role. (I am assuming Keith at RT and L Brown at LT in 2010) Vet min if resigned but there will likely be value during FA for an OL role player.

13-   Dan Kreider: Kreider is not this low in priority because he hasn't played well, he just isn't an impact player and the team has options at this position.  I think he will get another 1 year contract but remember Green's rights are still owned by the Cardinals so it isn't a forgone conclusion Kreider will return.

14-   Ralph Brown: Not a Ralph Brown fan.  Toler and Adams can serve this role.  I wouldn't be surprised if cards pick up another corner in the draft.  Don't resign until near the end of FA and after draft and then only if absolutely needed. 

15-   Mike Gandy: Probably the most verbally abused player by the fans and bloggers on the Cards 2009 roster.  In all fairness to Gandy he has been left on an island often.  He is an average tackle blocking against good-great speed rushers.  Consequently he has looked bad.  It appears that his days in Arizona are done, but who is the heir-apparent?  The draft may produce an eventual starter but few rookies right out of the draft could do better than Gandy has done so... could the Cards resign Gandy for cheep? Unlikely.  I think the Cards will move L. Brown to LT and insert Keith into the RT.  This shift begins the change to a Leinart led offense.

16-   Bertrand Berry: He might get another year but my guess is he will not be with the Cardinals at the start of 2010 season. Father time is catching up with the B-train

17-   Brian St. Pierre: He'll be gone.  He will want to try someplace else, and the Cardinals will want to start to develop a new backup to Leinart. 


This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Revenge of the Birds' (ROTB) editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of ROTB's editors.

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Potential Uncapped Issues

First, let Whisenhunt work during the final year of his existing contract. What kind of message would the FO be sending the players who have wanted an early extension and haven’t gotten it ?

I’m on board with the need to resign Rackers. Rolle is ascending as a Safety but I would allow the market to dictate what he should be paid if it comes to that. Is Rolle a CORE PLAYER ?

Dansby is interesting. I think his play while not bad has not been stellar. Yet he wants to be paid like a dominate defender. His big play impact is not there from game to game for me. He also has made about 17-18 million the last two years. I think it is time for someone else to get paid. If Dansby and his agent are outrageous with their demands…… go to plan B. I think Dansby will be surprised too at the lack of money on the market.

Highsmith is out. Guys like him are on practice squads around the league. Berry is gone too. Okeafor is average but bodies are needed as you can’t move everybody at one time. Okeafor will be a Card next season.

Not a fan of Urban’s. These QB’s throw passes that require a WR to catch in traffic and take a hit from time to time. Urban can’t or won’t do this. He needs a new home. Doucet and Onrea Jones (has some Boldin qualities) who I like are worth giving significant snaps to moving forward.

Boldin, the franchise career leader in reception and (full disclosure) my favorite Cardinal. What to do about Boldin? I don’t think Boldin will be back and I would be okay with that. I think Boldin is under appreciated, under used, and slightly unhappy with his role in this offense. I said it in the off-season and I’m saying it now. Boldin is a top ten WR in the league and deserves to be paid as such whether as a Cardinal or someplace else. I don’t think he will be offered a new contract and that will be the rub (again).

Becht will be back as he is needed to run the 22 and 12 personnel packages (for power run game) after Boldin is moved. Krieder and Pierre along with McFadden are former Steelers brought in and have had little to average impact. Not really great moves here by Whisenhunt and Graves.

It’s criminal how Gandy has been exposed and abused receiving almost no help from the TE’s on this team when facing the great pass-rushers week after week. His last year in the desert is one he will want to forget. This position needs an up-grade in a hurry. Who? I don’t know——-yet.

by Cardsfan81 on Dec 2, 2009 8:21 PM MST reply actions  

the key to our success

this may be two to three years away. stronger corners!!!
this is our downfall this year. mcfadden has severely, severely, disappointed me this year. and the others aren’t even worth mentioning. idk if its raw talent or what, but DRC is a top ten cb in this game,IN HIS 2nd YEAR, if we owe this talent to cards coach, that guy needs to spend night and day with greg toler. he sick with speed, and that needs to be in our secondary.
could you all imagine two shut down corners this year, combined with our offense and a-dub?

by fansincejakenrob on Dec 2, 2009 8:41 PM MST reply actions  

depth at corner is troubling

DRC is a solid starter and will be here for a long time. McFadden has disappointed and will probably be gone after this two year deal is up. Brown is terrible and Adams, for all of his fearlessness, should never play corner. He’s just too small. Toler is a complete unknown. The ditches are littered with amazing athletes who simply couldn’t play football so we’ll have to see how he develops. Either way, the CB spot is in the top four needs, IMO, heading into April.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Dec 3, 2009 7:01 AM MST up reply actions  

good lord that's a lot to digest in one post.....

I’ll focus on the players/coaches that you’ve listed since it looks like pretty much everything else are facts regarding the CBA (although I agree that there will probably be quite a few vets on the market).

 - Ken Whisenhunt – Whiz should have already gotten an extension/raise. I said it last off season and am still surprised that it hasn’t happened. Mike Tomlin, who was hired at the same time as Whiz, got an extension and raise after the SB so there’s no reason that Whiz shouldn’t have gotten the same.

 - Rackers – I really think he’ll be back next season and for the extended future. He’s a good kicker but not the kind of talent that some other team is going to overpay for.

 - Rolle – Rolle’s the big question mark of the off season in my mind. First we can’t just assume that he’s going to accept a reworked deal this off season. Any worked contract will probably lock him up as a Cardinals for the next four to six years and I wouldn’t be surprised if it makes him one of the better paid free safeties in the league. He’s got enough of a name and track record that someone is going to pay him quite a bit of money and I’m not convinced that the Cardinals are that team. Long story short, I wouldn’t be surprised if Rashad Johnson was the starting FS next season.

 - Dansby – He’s as good as gone in my mind. Someone is going to pay him 8 mill a season and it won’t be us.

 - Beisel – I see no reason why he shouldn’t be back on a small, short term deal.

 - Ware – He’ll be back at with a contract similar to the one that got Aaron Francisco cut.

 - Chike – The only way he’s back is if it’s a one year deal for very little cash. Back problems for 30-something year olds might as well be a death sentence, but maybe he can last one more year as a situational pass rusher.

 - Bryan Robinson – I want this guy back even if it takes 2 mill a year. We have no idea what Watson is going to do and Branch isn’t even a nose tackle anymore. His emergence has come as a DE so we’re very thin at NT.

 - Urban – Bye-bye. Urban should have tried to capitalize on his big season last year because he’s fallen back into ranks now. Doucet has passed him and there’s no point in keeping a 30 year old #5 receiver who can’t return kicks/punts.

 - Boldin – My feelings/thoughts on Boldin are pretty well known so I’ll just say I think he’s finally traded and hopefully it’ll be a move that’s beneficial to all the parties involved.

 - Becht – If the Cards want him I’m sure they’ll have no problem retaining his services.

 - Bridges – Anyone else get the feeling that he might be auditioning for a new position this week? If he can hold his own against Jared Allen this week I think we’ll look very hard at keeping him around for a while. In the worst case scenario he’s the perfect backup OL.

 - Kreider and Brown – Bye, bye. Two vets who haven’t delivered this year.

 - Gandy – I agree that we all rag on Gandy too much considering that he was a guard who signed to play LT and then left him on an island against the best pass rushers in the league. Still though, he’s gone. We’ve got younger, cheaper and hopefully better options waiting in the wings.

 - Berry – His time as a useful NFL player is gone. Happy retirement.

 - BSP – He got his 15 minutes this August and now he’ll fade back into NFL-obscurity. Teams don’t keep 30-something year old QB’s at their #3 guy. It’s time to find a developmental guy in the draft.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Dec 3, 2009 6:57 AM MST reply actions  

Sharing a brain (except)

The Bidwills are not the kind of owners that pay unless they are forced to pay (external forces). It just has never been their MO. The Rooney’s and the Bidwill’s two completely different styles of management. Night and day.

Rashard Johnson has shown nothing to warrant discussion of being a starting FS. I’m suprise you feel this way Bezekira. Johnson has not shown the insticnts this season at all.

 A big, powerful and motivated zero technique is needed so Robinson can retire. It would alleviate a lot of issues on defense. Draft ot trade . Get one this off-season.

by Cardsfan81 on Dec 3, 2009 8:33 AM MST up reply actions  

you are 100% right that RJ hasn't shown jack this season but....

I also don’t think we’re going to pay Rolle like a top 5 or 10 safety and I do think that’s the kind of money he’s going to be asking for if we try to rework his deal. With that in mind that leaves either RJ or Ware as our FS and Ware seems much more like a SS than a free.

Maybe I’m putting too much faith into Whiz’s system of drafting next year’s replacement but I just think that’s what we’re looking at for next year. Although the uncapped season and Dansby dropping off the books might allow us to hold onto Rolle even with a monster salary.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Dec 3, 2009 8:54 AM MST up reply actions  

I understand now

I get you. I completely agree on Ware. He has to brought back even it’s at a slightly above market value deal. If Rolle is ridiculous in terms of working with the FO then move on to plan B. I’m hoping like hell that the light switch will come on for RJ and these possible concerns will go away.

One thing we need to consider is that Whiz is very slow to warm-up to rookies. This could be more of factor than anyone realizes including myself. He just has a history of taking it slow with the youngsters.

by Cardsfan81 on Dec 3, 2009 9:47 AM MST up reply actions  

true that

And he probably gets that rookie-treatment from his time in Pittsburgh. Very few rookies ever play significant roles there.

Although it is worrisome that Toler has been active on gamedays twice as much at RJ so maybe there’s something we should be concerned with.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Dec 3, 2009 10:11 AM MST up reply actions  

I disagree with this.
Although it is worrisome that Toler has been active on gamedays twice as much at RJ so maybe there’s something we should be concerned with.

I think that Toler sees the field more because of his position and not how far ahead he is than RJ. Toler is the #4 CB (unless I’m mistaken) so when we go to the nickle, he has the opportunity to see the field some in rotation with our nickleback. Where as when we have 3 safeties in the game, Ware gets most of that attention. But I could be wrong in my synopsis though. Wouldn’t be the first time. Agree with everything else you guys said though.

Life's too short. Be a fan. Orlando Magic, Arizona Cardinals,Tampa Bay Rays and of course "the U"! What a winning combo.

by hevchv on Dec 3, 2009 10:36 AM MST up reply actions  

Rolle still has Rosensh*t don't he?

I, like most on here, like where were at with our safeties. I think Rolle is worth the money as long as its not some outlandish asking price (which it could very well be). I do think he’s worth being paid like a top 10 guy. I think it will hurt down the road to keep losing rising stars every year like Calvin Pace and Antonio Smith (who hasn’t done a whole lot in Houston I don’t believe but was getting better every game with us). A-Dub got his due like we knew he would but I just think we should be retaining more players if possible on our D.

by Fitz Jizzle on Dec 4, 2009 12:25 PM MST up reply actions  

I have 1 MAJOR question though about the uncapped year.

If there is no cap next year and teams are allowed to spend freely, assuming a CB agreement is reached for the following year, will teams have to get back under the cap the following year? This could mean a lot maneuvering including losing some players teams would really want to keep.

Life's too short. Be a fan. Orlando Magic, Arizona Cardinals,Tampa Bay Rays and of course "the U"! What a winning combo.

by hevchv on Dec 3, 2009 10:40 AM MST reply actions  

I think this is a problem as well

I think a new CB will get done – Both sides have some poison pills in the last deal that will ultimately bring them to the table. I also think the commissioner and players no better than to have a strike/lockout in this bad of an economy (at least I hope so).

by Drullin'OverDaCards on Dec 3, 2009 11:32 AM MST up reply actions  

Yes

I am almost certain that this would be the case. CBA agreement -—- salary cap ceiling and salary cap floor.

by Cardsfan81 on Dec 3, 2009 11:52 AM MST up reply actions  

We should resign Rolle if possible

I like R.J. I think he will be fine with more experience. Dansby is gone. I’m sure some team will pay him. Boldin should be traded for a high 2nd or low 1st and maybe a 5th. Resign Ware, we need more depth at corner…. either through the draft or F.A. keeping Urban would be good if Boldin is traded unless we can find a better option in the Draft.

by CardsDefense on Dec 3, 2009 11:30 AM MST reply actions  

We need peices

I like Dansby and think he brings toughness to our D. I hope we can keep him and keep him happy. Boldin… I love his toughness but I don’t think he has a future with us, not in a Leinart offense.
I think its unanimous we need more depth in the secondary.
I think our D-line will be fine. I really think we need athleticism at LB. Who knows about Cody Brown. I just think we need another piece that can pass rush. If we lose Dansby that hurts our ability to get a pass rusher.
I also think, unmentioned is that we need a good TE. If we are going to run more we need a guy who can block well and catch a pass on a play action. I think we especially need one if we don’t have a viable upgrade at tackle.

They are who we thought they were!

by Jessesb on Dec 3, 2009 4:31 PM MST reply actions  

Tight end

Agreed, a complete TE someone who doesn’t have to be taken off the field would be great.

by Cardsfan81 on Dec 3, 2009 6:02 PM MST up reply actions  

Ben Patrick, when healthy, seems like a decent enough tight end, IMO

His blocking seems to have really improved and my only real complaint is that there’s about a 30% chance that he’ll hurt something getting out of bed every morning.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Dec 4, 2009 6:28 AM MST up reply actions  

Now that's a good one

I do like Patrick. I think he’s the most talented guy on the roster at his position. More finess than power as a blocker. He’s a small school guy and I don’t know why he hasn’t improved as a drive blocker. Not enough junk in his trunk ?

by Cardsfan81 on Dec 4, 2009 9:30 AM MST up reply actions  

yea that's probably the biggest reason

The bigger he gets to improve his blocking, the worse he gets at getting separation in his routes. Kind of a trade off but I doubt guys like Antonio Gates or Kellen Winslow or Dallas Clark are great in line blockers either. He’s decent though and the new thing about motioning him into the backfield as a lead blocker on occasion has to at least suggest that he’s an adequate blocker.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Dec 4, 2009 12:01 PM MST up reply actions  

Being optimmistic

Vernon Davis outta San Fran is both an great receiver (for a TE) and a great blocker. It can be done. I just don’t trust Patrick but at the same time TE’s aren’t really important in our offense, despite The Whiz being a former TE…
I was thinking about a possible Leinart offense, mostly because TE’s will have to be more involved in both aspects of the game because Leinart A, doesn’t have the quick release that Warner does and because B, I don’t think we will have Boldin and we will need to run the ball much more.
I guess it all boils down to speculation on my part.

They are who we thought they were!

by Jessesb on Dec 4, 2009 5:04 PM MST up reply actions  

Vernon Davis is a freak of nature

There’s a reason he was a first round pick and Patrick was a 7th.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Dec 7, 2009 5:59 AM MST up reply actions  

Shows what I know

And our TE’s play excellent in the biggest game of the year.

They are who we thought they were!

by Jessesb on Dec 8, 2009 11:47 PM MST up reply actions  

Great write up MBN

I agree with everything you said, although hearing Rackers and consistent in the same sentence feels weird. The league and teams will have a huge mess to clean up if their not able to reach a CB agreement by March.

What? I didn't break it, I was just testing its durability, and then I placed it in the woods becuase it's made out of wood and I just thought he should be with his family.
Revenge of the Birds

by Andrew602 on Dec 4, 2009 2:59 PM MST reply actions  

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