Predicting the Arizona Cardinals Record: Part 1
With the start of the 2009 preseason only less then a week away, now's a good time to break down the regular season and predict a record for 2009. Last year, many of us figured a realistic record would be 9-7 or 10-6, and their actual record fell along those lines. This year, the schedule becomes more difficult, coaching changes are made, and different personnel and schemes are brought in that can make predicting a valid schedule very frustrating. This season is s
ure to feature its ups and downs, upsets and surprising, and many more unknown scenarios. Let's break down the schedule and attempt to bolster a reasonable prediction for the Cardinals 2009 record. We'll do 4 weeks at a time until we have the complete 16 game record complete.
Week 1 - San Francisco 49ers
Key Additions: WR Brandon Jones, CB Dre Bly, WR Michael Crabtree
Key Losses: LB Tully Banta-Cain, WR Bryant Johnson, CB Donald Strickland, QB J.T. O'Sullivan
Analysis: When Mike Singletary took over the 49ers last year, it took a couple of games, but Singletary was able to spark a fire under the 49ers and make them one of the most competitive teams towards the end of last year. That fire is sure to continue on this season, and should create a great season opener as the Cardinals and 49ers have opened the season together the last 3 years together.
What to watch for: The most obvious things to watch for would be how Beanie Wells handles his first regular season game, as he should get a good amount of carries against a physical defense in the 49ers. We should also watch out to see if Larry Fitzgerald's momentum from the playoffs continues into this season.
Key Match Up: Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie vs. Michael Crabtree
Prediction: Win - Cardinals coming off a Super Bowl run, at home, should be too much for the 49ers.
Week 2 - At Jacksonville Jaguars
Key Additions: WR Torry Holt, S Marlon McCree, OT Tra Thomas, OT Eugene Monroe
Key Losses: LB Mike Peterson, RB Fred Taylor, DE Paul Spicer, CB Drayton Florence, WR Matt Jones, WR Jerry Porter
Analysis: The Jaguars had high hopes last year after coming very close to the Super Bowl in 2007. They were also one of the very dominant rushing teams that year. Things changed last year when injury, and inconsistency at the quarterback position hit them. They lost Fred Taylor but Maurice Jones-Drew looks to lead the team in the running game. The Jaguars are still a very dangerous team and have the right tools to make week 2 a very competitive one for the Cardinals.
What to watch for: This will be the first game on the road in 2009 and as we all know, the Cardinals have never played well on the road in the past. Although they surprised us against Carolina in the playoffs, winning on the road week 2 should be a challenge. If they can overcome the road games early, it should be a good sign for the 2009 season.
Key match up: Maurice Jones-Drew vs Karlos Dansby
Prediction: Win - Too many holes on the Jaguars and virtually no chemistry will give the Cardinals the edge.
Week 3 - Indianapolis Colts
Key Additions: DT Ed Johnson, RB Donald Brown
Key Losses: WR Marvin Harrison, RB Dominic Rhodes, Tony Dungy
Analysis: The Colts took 5 games last year to get back to playoff football. Things won't be the same this year as Peyton Manning is healthy heading into the season. The loss of Harrison shouldn't have too much of an effect on the offense as the Colts have virtually been without him the last couple years. The main factor that could give the Colts problems is the loss of long time head coach, Tony Dungy. There will be an adjustment but expect their top offense and quick defense to show up when they come to University of Phoenix Stadium.
What to watch for: Peyton Manning. The entire Cardinals defense will need to be watching Manning if they have a chance at winning the game. Manning can pick any defense apart with his superb quarterback skills. If the Cardinals can stay focused and not commit any mistakes, look for the upset.
Key match up: Dwight Freeney vs Mike Gandy
Prediction: Loss - Unfortunately, banking on not committing mistakes is not smart, and the fantastic offense of the Colts will be too much for the Cardinals.
Week 5 - Houston Texans
Key Additions: DE Antonio Smith, DT Shaun Cody, LB Cato June, LB Brian Cushing
Key Losses: QB Sage Rosenfels, S Will Demps, CB DeMarcus Faggins, RB Ahman Green
Analysis: After another average season, the Texans hopes are high heading into 2009. They have continued to fit the right pieces into place for the last few years, and seem to finally have most of the puzzle complete. They've built a solid line and built everything around it. They found a steal in last years draft in Slaton, have one of the best wide receivers in the game in Andre Johnson, and if Shaub is consistent, they're offense is set. If they're defense can adapt and improve off of last year, this team will be a contender.
What to watch for: This is surely going to be a hyped match up as the top two wide receivers in the NFL meet up. Expect many breakdowns and predictions for who will have a better performance, along with who the best receiver is during the post game news.
Key match up: No brainer...Larry Fitzgerald vs Andre Johnson
Prediction: Win - The Texans are still too inexperienced and will have trouble facing the Cardinals on their home field.
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Cardinals record through Week 5 - 3-1
It's not a bad start to the season and if the Cardinals are able to pull it off, this should surely jump start them to a lead in the NFC West. The only problem with that is keeping their number one spot as the other three teams will be gunning for them. We'll break down weeks 6-9 next week but what would you think of their record so far? Could you see it going any other way?
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15 comments
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Comments
-puts on homer goggles-
How dare you say the Cardinals will lose against the Colts. From here on, we should see each prediction say win on our way to 19-0.
A man from Dallas who bleeds red, not silver and blue.
by Sir Whirly on Aug 8, 2009 2:01 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
RE: Week 1 vs SF
I’m not sure Crabtree is going to be a big factor this season, let alone the first week after holding out for who knows how long. The Niners’ strengths will probably be the defense and the run game, probably not the passing game (especially if Hill is the QB and Singletary comes out wanting to establish the ground game).
I see the more interesting matchups on the D lines. How effective will the Cards be at stopping the run? How effective will the Niners be at rushing the passer?
by ninjasocks on Aug 8, 2009 2:36 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
Key Match Up: Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie vs. Michael Crabtree
How do you figure? If Crabtree’s even got his deal done by then, he won’t be much higher than #3 on their depth chart, if that. If anything, I’d say Wells vs. Willis or, since all eyes will be on Fitzgerald one imagines, him vs. Clements will be far more important to deciding this game in terms of individual match ups.
by Chg91 on Aug 8, 2009 5:17 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
DRC will never line up across from Crabtree b/c Crabtree will be so far behind he’ll be buried on the depth chart. The Niners corners always play Fitz physically and I always like watching that matchup.
Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
by Bezekira on Aug 10, 2009 5:55 AM MDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cards record.
I would probably agree with your prediction but I do think that the Colts game could go either way. Last year the Cards didnt show up for big games during the regular season but this year may be different. I think 3-1 is probably right but I dont think 4-0 is out of the question either.
by danceswithwalleye on Aug 8, 2009 7:06 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree with Sir Whirly
I always see us going 19-0. We needed a taste
of sucsess. We have the talent to go to the big
game again.
As far as SF, can’t wait to shut down Gore. Run
defence last year was pretty good. Only a few hundred
yard rushers against our big D. So excited to see how
we do with our passing defence. B-Mac, DRC, A-Dub, and
Trel. If we can get to the QB, danger.
SF and rest of NFC West will get sweeped again!
by 4LIFE on Aug 8, 2009 9:37 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
Cards Record
What this team has always seemed to lack is confidence, something they obviously gained in their playoff run. They are positioned for a fantastic start, even with the 1st place schedule.
The key game is Jax. If they can go on the road and win a 1:00PM start, I fully expect them to be 4-0 to start, just as long as they stay reasonably injury free. I don’t expect them to lose more than 1 game at home this year, and I don’t think that 1 loss will be to any of the teams they start the year with.
by toolman234 on Aug 9, 2009 7:24 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
I think the key game is SF.
We need to start with a bang and just spank the niners. Something like 38-14. It’s a division game at home. It will answer the critic’s question about last years playoff run being a fluke or a turning point for this franchise. It will set the tone for the whole season. This is a HUGE pressure game and the cards need to step up and dominate. Just winning (say 28-24) would be ok, but it send the message that the cards are not dominate in the NFC west.
by Drullin'OverDaCards on Aug 10, 2009 9:56 AM MDT up reply actions 0 recs
Initial thoughts
I also disagree with the week 1 Key Matchup of DRC vs. Crabtree. The main thing to watch that week is going to be our Defense as a whole Vs. Frank Gore. If we can limit him to mild success, that will be a great momentum builder for our D. Gore should be one of the elite rb’s this year with Mike pushing for a Run First Defense with the Niners. I also see our toughest game being week 2 in Jacksonville rather than being week 4 vs. the Colts. We all know how suspect our team has been in the past on the road and I truely believe the Cards can beat ANYONE at HOME! The crowd will be pumped and it will be the biggest game of the year for them up to that point and I just don’t see them letting that home crowd down. Week 2 will be the toughest game out of the 4 and a good chance to really see what this team is going to be about this year
by DrtyD on Aug 10, 2009 12:27 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
My thoughts exactly, Jacksonville is the biggest threat of this first handfull of games. It will be interesting to see if last seasons playoff run and SB showing has sparked a new confidence they were lacking on the road last year.
As for the Colts, I would take our offense over theirs any day of the week, especially Sunday! We have proven the last two years consecutively that we are a dominant force on our home field and I don’t see that changing this year.
It’s my opinion that these first four games seem like a pretty good opportunuity to start out on top and hopefully build some momentum traveling into some of the harder away games that await us in the future.
by badmatty53 on Aug 10, 2009 2:05 PM MDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agree that @ Jax will probably be the toughest win to pull off
But losing that game would not be as detrimental as losing at home to the niners. I think that game is the single most important of the four.
Section 135, Row 35
by AJ BirdWatcher on Aug 10, 2009 4:44 PM MDT up reply actions 0 recs
I love our new found success.
But even more. I love when we play in Florida. I get to watch the games locally. Couple that with all our national games I’m in heaven. Not to mention our espn game this week. YES!!!
Life's too short. Be a fan. Magic, Cards,Rays and "the U"! What a winning combo.
by hevchv on Aug 10, 2009 5:53 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
correction to above statement
Run First Offense with the Niners *
by DrtyD on Aug 10, 2009 12:33 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs





















