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Swami Says: 2010 Cardinals Key Offseason Predictions

Now that the 2009 season is officially over, with the New Orleans Saints Super Bowl win, it is time to take a look at some possible moves for the Arizona Cardinals 2010 offseason.

Should I Stay or Should I Go?

Karlos Dansby

As much as the Cardinals and every Cardinal's fan out there would like Dansby to stay, consider him as good as gone. The deal that Dansby is worth, is around the same ballpark that Bart Scott got (48 million with 20 million being guaranteed). Dansby wants more than that, and another team will unwisely give into his request. That being said, at this point the Cardinals don't have an adequate backup to step up and fill Dansby's shoes. This means they will need to find his replacement either via the draft or free agency.

Through free agency there are a few names that could be available, such as DeMeco Ryans from the Houston Texans and Barrett Ruud from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but assuming there is no new CBA (collective bargaining agreement) in place by the time free agency starts, those players will be RFAs (restricted free agents). After you take away the RFAs from the list there is a significant drop off in talent. The best available would be Larry Foote, who would be nice signing for now but not really a long term answer. That is why the Cards will more than likely look to fill the position through the draft.

Star-divide

There are a few players in this year's draft that could step in and produce immediately, such as Alabama's Rolondo McClain and Florida's Brandon Spikes. The better choice would be McClain, as he would not only fill our biggest need, but the Cardinals would also be drafting for value as McClain will likely be gone by the 26th pick in the draft. Another great replacement is Brandon Spikes. Before the season started Spikes was a potential top 15 pick, and he still could be. At this point however, it's highly unlikely as some on field issues have caused his stock to drop. Spikes will more than likely be available when the Cardinals are picking and I think we take him here. (McClain and Spikes will be looked at more when we take a look at potential Cardinals draftees)

2010 Inside-Linebacker Predictions: Dansby Leaves and Cardinals Draft Brandon Spikes

Anquan Boldin

Boldin, as we all know, wants a new contract. He has been complaining about it since the beginning of the 2008 season. Although he has said he won't request the Cardinals to cut or trade him this season, he will likely be gone. With Larry Fitzgerald, Steve Breaston, and Early Doucet lining up as the top three receivers, the Cards are looking good at the wide out position. Look for the Cards to trade Boldin to another team for a third and fifth round pick in exchange. My money would be on the Miami Dolphins.

2010 Anquan Boldin Prediction: Traded to Miami for a 3rd and 5th Round Pick

Antrel Rolle

The Cardinals don't want to get rid of Rolle, as he is a key role player on the defense at free safety. Not only does he bring playmaking skills to the defense, but there isn't anyone behind him on the depth chart who could step in and start right now. The problem is that his contract for 2010 balloons to 12.1 million dollars. That's a ridiculous amount of money for a player that isn't even the best in the league or let alone the best player on the defense. He has already said he won't take a pay cut from this season but something's got to give as the Cards can't afford to lose their fourth big name player of the offseason (according to my predictions). I think they get something worked out in terms of a long term deal. The deal would probably be close to what Wilson got(5 year 36 million with 15.5 being guaranteed).

2010 Antrel Rolle Prediction: Signs a Long Term Contract to Stay in Red.

Backup Quarterback Solutions

With Kurt Warner retiring and Brian St. Pierre becoming a free agent, the Cardinals only have one quarterback on the roster - Matt Leinart. With the Cardinals being already set to give Leinart a shot at starting they will need to find two backups. To me, Leinart is the type of player that doesn't want to look over his shoulder at someone possibly stealing his job. That is why the number two quarterback must be someone that is content with being the backup. They can't be someone that will try and turn heads and stir up a quarterback controversy. The perfect quarterback that would fit this mold is Charlie Batch. Not only does he know Whizenhunt's system and was the backup quarterback while Whiz was the offensive coordinator for Pittsburgh, he also knows his place as a backup. He would be the perfect solution for the number two spot.

For the third spot on the depth chart the Cardinals will more than likely look to the draft. Now, going with the original theory that they won't grab a guy to make Leinart look over his shoulder, the Cards will not draft one in the first couple of rounds. Expect them to start looking for one in the fourth round andmaybe the third round. My prediction is they will grab BYU's Max Hall. Hall is a project as he does need to refine his game a bit, but if Leinart lives up to his potential than Hall would have all the time in the world to do that.

2010 Quarterback Predictions: St. Pierre Walks, Charlie Batch is Signed, and Max Hall is Drafted

Outside Linebacker and Julius Peppers

With Clark Haggans, Chike Okeafor, and Bertrand Berry, this unit was very old last season. They did draft two young players last season in Will Davis and Cody Brown to install some youth in the position, but they both faced injuries. With the loss of Berry to retirement, and the potential loss of Okeafor as a free agent, the team needs to add a more at this position. One possible move is going after Julius Peppers.

At first thought it sounds good to think about Peppers wearing Cardinal red but then reality and logic kicks in. There is a list of reasons why Peppers would not make sense for the Cardinals. First of all, he just turned 30, meaning his best seasons are behind him. Second, he has never played in the 3-4 defense that we run, making it tough to know if he would play well in our system. Lastly, because of those first two reasons it does not make sense to pay him the amount of money he is going to be looking for. The Cards might call and find out if he would come cheaper but ultimately I think he goes elsewhere.

That means the draft is the likely scenario again for this position. This is not a bad thing as Whiz and Co. have been good at finding talent and this year's draft, like last year, is loaded at the OLB spot. Since we took Brandon Spikes in the first round(based on my prediction) that means they will have to wait till the second round till fill the outside linebacker void. It's a little bit tougher to predict who would be at our spot for the 52nd overall pick but I think South Carolina's Eric Norwood could available there and he would fit fine in the 3-4.

The Cards could also look to adding another seasoned 3-4 veteran, such as a Mike Vrabel or a Joey Porter, to help Clark Haggans mentor these young players that are now being leaned upon heavily to carry this unit. Porter would be the best choice as he knows a lot of the Cards coaching staff from his time over with the Pittsburgh Steelers. He'll most likely be available in free agency too as Miami is expected to release him when the 2010 offseason officially gets under way on March 5th.

2010 OLB Position Prediction: Peppers is a no go, Eric Norwood gets Drafted, Cards Sign a Seasoned Veteran

While these are just predictions, it is not that far out there to think that some of these could actually happen. A lot of them make sense for team in the direction they are trying to go, at least in my opinion. What do you think of these predictions? Do you agree with them? Or do you think something else will happen?

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Nice Article

I would be extremely happy if all these predictions came to fruition over the off-season. I think the biggest signing would be Porter, getting up there in age but linebackers with a nasty mentality seem to last longer than most (i.e. Ray Lewis). Plus he played for Whiz with the Steelers and I read somewhere that he’s interested in playing for Arizona, even though I’m not sure how much truth is there.
Spikes is a monster and can immediately team up with Hayes to be a force. However if we pick him up and sign Porter i’d prefer to sign a LT in the second round.
Max Hall would be a good project, go cougars.
Don’t think Rolle deserves a Wilson-type contract though. He’s still in the works if you ask me as far as becoming an elite NFL safety. Nowhere near Wilson’s status so I wouldn’t think he’d get paid like him. Just my 2 cents.
GO CARDINALS!!!

by cardsfanforlife24 on Feb 15, 2010 10:22 AM MST reply actions  

i like your LT in the second round.....

I think a LT would be a better pickup in the second round than another LB. heres too hoping that a good drops to the second round!

by Ogre7 on Feb 15, 2010 11:55 AM MST up reply actions  

Agreed

They are who we thought they were!

by Jessesb on Feb 16, 2010 11:06 AM MST up reply actions  

The thing is, it doesn't make much sense to give rolle that much guaranteed money in an uncapped year

$12 million next year is only $12 million for next year. With no cap, it doesn’t really hurt this team like it would other years. I think they’ll try to restructure his contract, but he doesn’t deserve A-Dub money. Wilson’s an all pro safety. Rolle is good, but not that good. They should try and restructure his deal, but if he wants too much they should keep hmm where he’s at and try and develop RJ next year

by najmsh on Feb 15, 2010 10:46 AM MST via mobile reply actions  

I slightly disagree.

If we keep him where he’s at then he will $12 mil next season. Uncapped year or not he doesn’t deserve that kind of money. If he doesn’t want to restructure then we will have no choice but to cut him or trade him for draft picks. Just my $.02.

Life's too short. Be a fan. Orlando Magic, Arizona Cardinals,Tampa Bay Rays and of course "the U"! What a winning combo.

by hevchv on Feb 15, 2010 9:37 PM MST via mobile up reply actions  

I kind of cringed myself as I said the Cards would keep Rolle if he asked for that contract.

I don’t know for sure if that is what he is demanding for a new contract but my guess is it is somewhere around there.

The reason I say the Cards keep him is:
1 – He is young and is still getting better at his position (was named an alternate in just his 2nd season playing safety)
2 – Wilson needs a guy like Rolle who can cover so that he can do what he does best, line up in the box.
3 – RJ is not ready to start. I just didn’t see enough out of him last season to believe he can come in and start this next season.

Unfortunately Rolle also knows this and is using it to his advantage to get a contract that he is not worth yet (can’t really blame him for doing so).

by Pyromnc on Feb 15, 2010 11:29 AM MST reply actions  

Also

Rolle just made the Pro-Bowl so in his agents eyes his price tag went up big time

Fan of :
Toronto Raptors
Arizona Cardinal
Kansas Jayhawks

by zAIN J on Feb 15, 2010 11:58 AM MST up reply actions  

The reality with Rolle

seems to be re-work his currently deal or play elsewhere next season. Hopefully something can be done to keep him here.

by Long Beach on Feb 15, 2010 11:58 AM MST up reply actions  

Cardinals and Free Agency

I agree with almost everything Pyro said. Good Job! I would add one other point to the FA discussion.

Along with the uncapped year greatly limiting the free agent pool by reclassifying many free agents to restricted free agents, I think any discussion of free agent signings for the Cardinals has to consider the “Final 8” rule as well.

Unless a CBA is reached soon, the final eight teams in the playoffs are restricted from signing free agents. Playoff teams five thru eight get a break to sign one player with a first year salary of $4,925,000 or more and any number of players with a first-year salary of no more than $3,275,000. The annual increase in future years is also limited to 30. The only exception to this rule is the final eight teams can sign an unrestricted free agent for each unrestricted free agent they lose as long as they don’t spend more than the lost player’s new contract at the other team.

Based on this rule, I think the Cards chance of making a big FA acquisition are very limited as they could only do so after Dansby signs with another team. Small FA moves to cover a position for a few years to allow a draft choice time to mature are much more likely (and probably better for the team in the long run anyway).

I don’t see how they could possibly sign Peppers unless Dansby gets a huge deal elsewhere and Pep is still around after that.

Vrabel and Porter are possibilities, but will likely look around for a better deal from a non-Final 8 team. If they are still around 2 weeks after FA maybe the cards could get them, but I think it’s a long shot.

by Drullin'OverDaCards on Feb 15, 2010 12:42 PM MST reply actions  

+10 on the post

but what about Antonio Pierce as far as LB possibilities?

by Fitz Jizzle on Feb 15, 2010 4:32 PM MST reply actions  

I thought about it but I don't think he would fit.

He has never played in a 3-4 defense.
He will be 32 years old in October, meaning he is at the back end of his career.
And he almost had a career ending injury.

Just too many negatives to really justify signing him.

by Pyromnc on Feb 16, 2010 7:58 AM MST up reply actions  

predictions

All of them sound good, really do not care much for Batch, but not much else out there, would really like Hall to be drafted, I feel he even though not getting talked about could be the best NFL QB prospect out there.

by Art W on Feb 15, 2010 6:36 PM MST reply actions  

I'd like to see Max Hall behind Leinart too.

Lifelong Arizona Cardinals/Chicago Bears fan.

I can't stand band-wagoner fans, stick with your team, throughout the good and the bad.

by JoeCB1991 on Feb 15, 2010 9:18 PM MST up reply actions  

Welcome to ROTB Art

What? I didn't break it, I was just testing its durability, and then I placed it in the woods becuase it's made out of wood and I just thought he should be with his family.
Revenge of the Birds

by Andrew602 on Feb 16, 2010 9:41 AM MST up reply actions  

great post

I agree with your assumptions…thinking Porter or Pierce will be that vetran we sign. I like your draft pics…be nice if they fall where they fall…if they do I’d say best available LT in the 3rd round since if we do trad Boldin we’d have two at that spot!

by Punisher3190 on Feb 15, 2010 7:24 PM MST reply actions  

Rebuilding Year

Next year is shaping up to be a rebuilding year, especially on defense. I expect to see a lot of young players on the field. Whiz may decide to sink, or swim with their recent draft picks and give them some experience.

by WeiWuWei on Feb 16, 2010 11:46 AM MST reply actions  

Yes and No

I agre that, due to the uncapped year and the lack of many big names in free agency, it is starting to appear as though it would be a Rebuilding year. However, I think Whiz and the team have done a good enough job drafting young talent that, while we may be starting several new faces and most of them will be seeing their first seasons as a starter, we should still have enough talent to put up plenty of wins and contend for the division. I don’t think we are going to have a typical rebuilding year where you have a losing season marred by learning experiences.

I think this is why Whiz employs the strategy of drafting a player and having him learn behind a vet for his first year.

by SundayBlitz on Feb 16, 2010 2:16 PM MST up reply actions  

I thought last year was going to be our rebuilding year on defense

But we’re not really that close to an actual rebuilding phase. We’re the oldest team in the NFL. I don’t think experience is an issue. What we’ve had is one or two positions needing to be “brought up” a year, max — hardly rebuilding. Most of our players don’t make an impact until their second year as it is. We’ve got a number of second-year guys plugged into the D — Brown, RJ, Davis, Toler, Walker — that are going to get the opportunity to step into the line-up this year and take some responsibility, guys who have had the tools (experience, conditioning, knowledge of the system) put in place already.

Let me ask you this: Barring injury, what positions do you expect to see a rookie start a full season at? Half a season?
I can see a half-season for a rookie NT and/or OLB. I could see a full season rookie “starting” at ILB behind Hayes. That’s about it…

Like SB said, Whiz gives guys a year behind the vets, and we’ll certainly see that again this year. A lot of times, the answers are already on the roster, we just haven’t gotten to see much from them.

by tw3kr on Feb 16, 2010 11:14 PM MST up reply actions  

Agreed

Whiz does a great job of making the rookies work for a starting job and not just giving it to them ala DRC.

They are who we thought they were!

by Jessesb on Feb 17, 2010 6:07 AM MST up reply actions  

One More Note

It will be interesting to see how Dansby plays with a contract. Before these past three seasons Dansby was labeled as lazy. That changes these past three seasons because he was playing for a contract all three season.

Now that he is going to get his long contract paying him a butt load of money, I wonder if he resorts to his old ways? Or did he actually mature and play hard because he wanted to play hard (and maybe a little bit because of that big contract)?

by Pyromnc on Feb 18, 2010 7:56 AM MST reply actions  

fair question

and i have wondered the same thing. i think if he stays here (not likely) he gets a little lazy but not like earlier in his career. This is why it makes me and has made me a little hesitant to resign him. If he goes somewhere else I think he works hard and keeps his value and work ethic high to prove to all the ‘new’ people he really is a great player & teamate. We are in a lose lose in my mind with Dansby.

Never do card tricks for the group you play poker with.

by sc464 on Feb 19, 2010 11:09 AM MST up reply actions  

Very fair assessment.

I think accurate too.

Life's too short. Be a fan. Orlando Magic, Arizona Cardinals,Tampa Bay Rays and of course "the U"! What a winning combo.

by hevchv on Feb 19, 2010 12:53 PM MST via mobile up reply actions  

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