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Cards Schedule - "easy beyond belief"

I was going to call this Niner Follies II, but I guess i've thrown enough gasoline on that fire. However, we all need something to do till those first training camp videos.

It was on a Niner message board, in a long thread about the cardinals, that I found this quote,  from 1 of 2 people who had reservations about it being so easy to bury the cards, the other one actually warned we might be better than expected (to universal scorn) and then, there was this...

"If the Card's season wasn't easy beyond belief, I would feel pretty good right now. "

and this from someone who seemed to be respected as a sensible, knowledgeable fan. Scotty, beam me up !

The explanation for this incredibly, uninformed quote and a chart of how they SHOULD rank strength of schedule, after the jump...

Star-divide

We were ranked 32 (easiest) in strength of schedule this year. Now, we all know we have the Niners, Seahawks and Rams in this division and that is why we have the easiest schedule, because of them and their losses being counted twice (once for each of 2 coming games against each one of them). 

What the person didn't bother to think about was this. All 4 teams in our division play the EXACT same opponents for 14 of the 16 games. So, for us to be "easy beyond belief" you would think for the other 2 games, SF was playing Saints and Colts and we were playing BIlls and Lions. But we aren't and they aren't.

So here are the ONLY 2 differing opponents and their 2009 record, we play

Vikings  12-4  and   Cowboys 11-5 .....  Niners play  Packers  11-5 and  Eagles 11-5

Vikings/Packers - a wash... Cowpokes (hate em as we do) beat snot out of Iggles. So, if they think we have reached parity, then we HAVE a tougher schedule than them because of the Cowboys/Eagles.  Now the quoted person garnered some agreement on his "easy beyond belief" statement, so we can infer this

Niners fans don't think their Team can even beat cream-puff opposition, if our "easy beyond belief" schedule worries them BECAUSE IT IS THE SAME SCHEDULE.

I know, this schedule strength rating is a crock, but it is of some minor interest, if you REMOVE the intra-divisional opponents. This chart use the same mathematics as the NFL, except ALL games within anyone's division have been removed. We know we are going to sweep our division (I'm sure lot's of teams fans say the same for their team) but what is the relative schedule strength for every other game ?  This chart shows it.

Strength of schedule OUTSIDE of division
Rank Team Opp Win % Opp Wins Opp Losses       Rank Team Opp Win % Opp Wins Opp Losses
1 Cowboys .59 93 65       17 Dolphins .50 79 79
2 Patriots .58 92 66       18 Saints .50 80 80
3 Bengals .58 92 68       19 Titans .50 80 80
4 Vikings .56 89 71       20 Steelers .49 79 81
5 Eagles .55 87 71       21 Bears .49 79 81
6 Cardinals .54 86 74       22 Raiders .49 78 82
7 Niners .53 85 75       23 Bills .48 76 82
8 Giants .53 83 75       24 Seahawks .48 69 75
9 Colts .53 84 76       25 Browns .48 76 84
10 Packers .52 83 77       26 Jaguars .47 75 85
11 Falcons .51 74 70       27 Redskins .47 74 84
12 Jets .51 81 77       28 Chiefs .46 73 87
13 Texans .51 82 78       29 Panthers .45 72 88
14 Chargers .51 82 78       30 Lions .44 70 90
15 Ravens .51 81 79       31 Rams .44 69 89
16 Broncos .50 80 80       32 Buccaneers .40 63 95

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Revenge of the Birds' (ROTB) editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of ROTB's editors.

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one other thought

that actually scares me a little … I think we better sweep the division (but I gain some comfort from SF’s stellar record outside the division, and after all, it is almost the exact same schedule).

by scsa69 on Jul 29, 2010 1:15 AM MDT reply actions  

one more observation on numbers

the ONLY difference in our schedule and the RAMS is we have Vikings (12-4) and Cowpokes (11-5) and the Rams have lions(2-14) and Redskins (4-12) and those 2 teams alone separated us by 10% with us at 6 and Rams at 31. I think he only numbers taht are going to count much will be Leinart TD passes, Dockett/Porter/Campbell/Wilson Sack counts and DRC/Toler interceptions, all of which I expect to be BIG. Go Cards!

by scsa69 on Jul 29, 2010 2:52 AM MDT reply actions  

We should start posting and exaggerting every questionable issue of the niners?

Get them pissed off and riled up.

I’d like to think what would happent o them if they lost Patrick Willis for the season.

You saw what happen to the bears when they lost Urlacher last year.

by fansincejakenrob on Jul 29, 2010 10:42 AM MDT reply actions  

We should get at least 8 wins with this cupcake schedule.

Lifelong Arizona Cardinals/Chicago Bears fan [I have always lived in Arizona, dad is from Chicago].

I can't stand fair-weather/bandwagon fans, stick with your team, throughout the good and the bad. And don't switch to whichever team wins the Super Bowl each year.

by JoeCB1991 on Jul 29, 2010 4:00 PM MDT reply actions  


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