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Arizona Cardinals At Atlanta Falcons: Game Preview

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The Arizona Cardinals(1-0) continue their 2010 season on the road when they face the Atlanta Falcons(0-1) this Sunday. It's a rematch of their playoff game two seasons ago, but in no way are these two teams the same. Kurt Warner is preparing for Dancing With The Stars, while Matt Ryan is no longer a rookie quarterback. Surely however, both teams will remember that game that propelled the Cardinals to their first Super Bowl appearence.

Against the Rams last Sunday, the Cardinals showcased their new look on offense and defense. Derek Anderson officially began his career as a Cardinal with a big "bleh" performance. Completing a mere 53% of his passes, Anderson struggled to find his receivers for the majority of the contest. He did make it count in the end however, throwing a 21-yard touchdown pass to Larry Fitzgerald that wound up the difference in the ball game. 

On defense, Bill Davis swarmed rookie quarterback Sam Bradford the entire game. Pro Bowl Safety Adrian Wilson showed many why he is one of the best strong safeties in the league, recording two interceptions, one sack, and one blocked field goal. The defense as a whole looked rock solid, limiting both the Rams' passing and rushing attack. It's imperative that the defense plays atop their game on Sunday, for Matt Ryan, Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, and Michael Turner will be ready.

As the Cardinals began their 2010 season, the Falcons were finishing up a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Falcons' offense never quite take off against the Steelers defense, only scoring nine points off of three field goals. A result of a poor rushing performance, the Falcons weren't able to make any big plays happen through the air. Turner rushed for 42 yards for a 2.2 ypc average. Matt Ryan completed 27 passes for 252 yards, but one pass went to the Steelers and Ryan only averaged 5.7 yards per completion. If there's one thing that we all know about the NFL, it's that it doesn't take long for an offense to score a touchdown. 

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Three Keys To Success

  1. Anderson & Fitzgerald On The Same Page - We saw the result of Derek Anderson and Larry Fitzgerald struggling to connect last week. Fitzgerald was targeted the third most last week, 15 times, but only caught three of those passes. Many of the throws were sporadic and left Larry diving out of his way to make a play. Anderson has always had issues keeping his throws accurate, but some of those misses were results of neither players being on the same page. If they can establish that connection sometime soon, they'll become a dangerous combination to cover. 
  2. Stop Roddy White - If we flip the spectrum, we can see that Roddy White was targeted 23 times against the Steelers last week -- the most of any receiver. White is a threat to take the ball to the house with his speed and elusiveness. Matt Ryan will do his best to put the ball in his hands in open space in order for him to make a play. The defense must be aware of where White is at all times.
  3. Contain The Football - After fumbling the football four times last week, holding onto the football should sit atop the Cardinals priority list. Against a better opponent, those fumbles may have resulted in more points allowed. The Falcons aren't the Rams, and have likely game-planned on targeting the ball. 
  4. Improved Offensive Line Blocking - I added a fourth key to success because the Cardinals offensive line must improve in order to get a win on Sunday. Anderson struggled getting away from pressure against the Rams' suspect defensive line. The Falcons have John Abraham, who although he isn't in is glory years, can still cause havoc in the backfield. The run blocking never seemed to take off as well, forcing the Cardinals to bounce the ball to the outside where they experienced success. 

Key Match Up

Derek Anderson vs Falcons Secondary - If Anderson can put the ball in his receiver's hands, the offense will move up and down the field in better transition. That's a big "if" however. Atlanta's secondary isn't filled with Pro Bowl'ers, but neither is the Rams'. Being the top corner, Dunta Robinson will challenge Anderson's accuracy. It all falls back on the Cardinals offensive line. If they provide better protection, it hinders the Falcons secondary at making a play on defense.

 

Biggest Question

Who will be the Cardinals primary running back? Tim Hightower carried the bulk of the carries for the Cardinals on the ground last week -- fumbling on the opening drive and when the Cardinals were trying to run out the clock for the win. This week Beanie Wells is a game-time decision but should he play, I'd imagine he'd run the ball a lot. LaRod Stephens-Howling provided a refreshing change-of-pace last week and he may get thrown in the mix again against the Falcons.


Key Stat

In the last two seasons, including the playoffs, when the Falcons' defense allows 24 or more points, they experienced a 3-13 record. The Cardinals offense will need to be on point tomorrow and must score every chance they get. Seventeen points may not be enough for the victory.

 

The Cardinals will attempt to improve their record to 2-0 tomorrow as they take on a fellow NFC foe in the Atlanta Falcons. The offensive chemistry remains to be seen, but the defense should be prepared for Matt Ryan and his offensive weapons. A victory for the Cardinals falls on the shoulders of Derek Anderson, but also ball security. Four fumbles will undoubtedly lead to a loss, but containing the football and taking advantage of scoring opportunities will lead to a win. The Cardinals quest for another NFC West division title continues tomorrow.

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Because numbers can be fun:

http://www.nfltouchdown.com/falcons-play-host-to-the-cardinals-in-home-opener/comment-page-1/#comment-13161

I was reading the thoughts of (another) Falcons fan on the upcoming fight.
He presented some stuff that got me thinking about the Cardinals and how the D matches to TEs.
Here’s the results (just copied from the post) I thought I’d share:
During the 2009 regular season the Cards gave up 60 catches for 697 yards and 9 TDs to TEs.
or an average per game of

3.75 catches (standard deviation of 2.[rounded off], which means between 1-6 catches)

43.56 yards (sd of 27.[rounded], which means between 16-70 yards)

1.7 TDs (sd of 1 [.8 rounded up], which means between 0-2 TDs)

— Now to compare it to another team —

During the 2009 regular season the Falcons gave up 62 catches for 743 yards and 4 TDs to TEs.
or an average per game of

3.87 catches (standard deviation of 2.[rounded off], which means between 2-7 catches)

43.56 yards (sd of 24.[rounded], which means between 19-67 yards)

.25 TDs (sd of .5 [rounded to 0], which means between TE TDs were rare against the Falcon D)

Numbers don’t tell the whole story, but both AZ their worst days defending "Name" TEs vs just regular starters.

by superpsck on Sep 18, 2010 8:03 PM MDT reply actions  

About the Defense

Last week I saw an exciting defense.
Not a flawless D, but there never has been and never will be.
This year’s squad will be stronger then last as long as they can stay fresh.
Rhodes will provide consistency and platooning NTs will force teams to not always double DD and CC (never noticed the alliteration on them before).
Branch is playing to get paid and Kenny’s looking like terrific depth.
By the end of the season TV personalities will be wondering “where did these guys come from?”
But we knew from the start.

by superpsck on Sep 18, 2010 8:08 PM MDT reply actions  

I’d like to retract this I guess…

by superpsck on Sep 19, 2010 4:48 PM MDT up reply actions  

I want the tackles to get help.

More chips on the way out on a pattern please!

DA looked his best when he didn’t have someone baring down on him.
He’s going to be his best when he’s got time, unlike Warner who seemed to shine when the D brought heat.

This means an adjustment to the offensive philosophy and a little help to our tackles, who’ve been stranded on an island since the days of Denny Green.

Timmy’s tremendous as a blocker and a receiver, so make him do both in one play.
Give the Jared Allen treatment to the DEs the Cards will face this year and I promise it’ll play dividends.

by superpsck on Sep 18, 2010 8:12 PM MDT reply actions  

Whoops

Clearly in my excitement for Sunday I forgot to say, nice work Drew!

by superpsck on Sep 18, 2010 8:12 PM MDT reply actions  

I think DA does fine in traffic...as the coach who drafted him pointed out recently

on ESPN (Ravens former head coach)….DA needs timing with receivers expect more from Fitz this week but really expect to see Williams and Breaston shine as coach goes easy on Fitz….

by Punisher3190 on Sep 18, 2010 10:48 PM MDT reply actions  

Correction....

Adub is the BEST Strong Safety in the NFL

by Cardsfan928 on Sep 19, 2010 3:00 AM MDT reply actions  

Can't Wait

I’ve been looking forward to this all week.

by KholdStare88 on Sep 19, 2010 4:13 AM MDT reply actions  

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