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Arizona Cardinals And Running The Ball On Third Down

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On Tuesday, we posted an article noting the playcalling tendencies of the Arizona Cardinals on first down, especially under Ken Whisenhunt. Since khodder brought up some other stats, I thought we should look at some other stats and compare them with the rest of the division.

Let's look at some playcalling numbers on third down.

Star-divide

The Cardinals had 205 third down plays. The San Francisco 49ers had 222, the Seattle Seahawks 228 and the St. Louis Rams 228.

Arizona converted on 67 of those plays (32.7 percent). SF did so on 66 (29.7 percent). Seattle? 78 plays for 34.2 percent. The Rams converted 64 plays for 28 percent.

Overall that is pretty dreadful. What surprises me is the running game on third down. The Cards only ran the ball 26 times on third down. SF rushed 57 times, Seattle 40 and St. Louis 48.

Breaking it down even more, Arizona never even attempted a running play on any third down play between five and nine yards. 19 of their 26 running plays were with one yard to go. In fact, Arizona only called two running plays on third down and more than four yards (once on thrid and 10 and once on third and more than 10.)

The rest of the division? There is much more balance in their attempts. San Fran ran the ball 24 (of their 57) with more than four yards to go. Seattle did so 20 of their 40 and St. Louis 25 of their 48.

Now, one reason why the Cardinals liked to pass the ball on third down was because of effectiveness. On third and one, they ran the ball 19 times out of a possible 26 plays. They got the first down only 10 of those plays.

The rest of the division? On third and one, SF ran 15 of 19 plays and converted on 10 of those 15 rushes. Seattle ran 13 of 18 times and converted on nine. The Rams ran the ball 14 of 20 times in third and one, and they converted on eight of those attempts.

Aside from the inability to get one yard for the first down, I notice a huge lack in the use of the draw play or any running play on third down with many yards to go as a tool for field position. I don't know how many times I have seen teams on third and long simply go with the draw to gain at least a few yards before punting away the ball, attempting to improve field position at least a little bit.

The thing to consider -- how many of these third down plays (and more than four) were when the team was down in the second half.

For next year, assuming a healthy Beanie Wells and Ryan Williams, how much will this change? How much should this change?

They had the most opportunities with third and one, but ran the ball less than anyone else in the division (percentage-wise). They also were the least successful team at getting first downs with one yard to go while running the ball. Granted, considering the running backs in the division, you could argue that Beanie Wells is the least physical, but that is deceiving as he IS physical. It's just that between Frank Gore, Marshawn Lynch and Steven Jackson, you have a VERY physical group of backs.

What are your observations? What else can we get from this data? Use the comments to discuss it.

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What database are you using?

Who was the league high/low leaders in 3rd down and how did they convert based on distance and pass/rush?

I’ve got to think as a rookie, I was surprised by how good Sherman was. We’ve also got to consider that Beanie’s injury forced him into one-trick-pony status. The direction he was pointed was the way he was going, without room to shimmy and squirm in the phone booth (in 10 years kids aren’t even going to know what the hell a phone booth is!).

Having him and Williams healthy will do wonders for the threat of the run.

Final stat question:

On 3rd down, when teams run the draw, how often do they convert?

by superpsck on Jan 18, 2012 3:29 PM MST reply actions  

The NFL media page

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by Jess Root on Jan 18, 2012 4:44 PM MST up reply actions  

And I'll see if I can get that info on there

some of it is buried a bit.

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by Jess Root on Jan 18, 2012 4:45 PM MST up reply actions  

LOL

The top convertion & on 3rd down in the division is 34.2% That is so bad! This division has some pretty terrible offenses this year, not going to lie. We have essentially half of the 3rd down rushing attempts as other teams in the division. I tend to believe most of this came from the fact that we were down by a lot in most of our games (mostly the games Skelton started in).

It is also obvious, to me at least, that we have no faith in our run game because we only ran it TWICE all season on 3rd and 3 or more. LOL. I like that you noted our lack of draw plays because we definitely seem to lack those in our games. That, and of course the screen! These two things makes third down more difficult as well.

"If Gortat pulls off a real Dream Shake in-game this year I will shave my head.
Mark my words." Piotr Szczesniak 12/12/11 2:12 PM
Cardinals, Suns, D-backs for life!

by Airwave on Jan 18, 2012 3:35 PM MST reply actions  

That is something I got

How can you NEVER run the ball on 3rd and 5,6,7,8,9?

Like the Cardinals? Revenge of the Birds is where to go.
Like Arizona Sports in general? SB Nation Arizona is where you'll get it all.
Follow me on Twitter! @senorjessroot

by Jess Root on Jan 18, 2012 4:53 PM MST up reply actions  

It will not change at all as long as Miller is the OC

Seems that he saw what an explosive ariel attack did for Haley in getting a Head Coaching job and wants to go the same route. I would also argue that Gore is the least physical of the backs in the division. He is a great back and may have been physical earlier in his career, but I cant remember the last time he de-helmeted someone (ala Beanie) or broke 7 tackles (ala Lynch)

by Redbird Nation #1 on Jan 18, 2012 5:24 PM MST reply actions  

I agreed the idea that we can spread the field and hit an open man still predominates in Millers scheme. We run no draws very litle screens none of the bread and butter plays of a good running team. We need improved line play but we have the backs to do better next year

by naironpalm3 on Jan 19, 2012 7:11 AM MST reply actions  

If/When R Williams is healthy next year, I do think it'll be a bit more balanced

Beanie’s not really a third down kind of back and that’s something we really lacked this year. Williams is that kind of player and I’d bet we see more screens and draws and “get him the ball in space” kind of plays, even on third downs.

by Steamin' Beamin' on Jan 19, 2012 9:06 AM MST reply actions  

If we can ever figure out

How to run a damn screen…… It is pathetic.

"If Gortat pulls off a real Dream Shake in-game this year I will shave my head.
Mark my words." Piotr Szczesniak 12/12/11 2:12 PM
Cardinals, Suns, D-backs for life!

by Airwave on Jan 19, 2012 1:32 PM MST up reply actions  

hopefully with Ryan back it will be more balanced, but Miller must make a commitment to these running plays. The hypen in the last game was given a chance a did well, why did Miller not use him earlier, cause he favors the bull rush and those quick passes.
Lets pray we begin to open up the running plays as you say

by naironpalm3 on Jan 19, 2012 1:09 PM MST reply actions  

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