My Top 5: 1st rd draft prospects, Series 3
Hey peeps, so this is part 3 of my 5 part series. So far we have covered David Decastro, a Guard from Stanford who is supposedly the next (insert pro bowl Guard here).. and Mike Adams who is an OT out of Ohio State that showed well at the Senior Bowl and had a good senior season.
Today I am going to cover a more controversial pick. This kid is a heck of a football player and has the potential to be an All-Pro for years to come. Before writing this pick off, or discussing in the comments section, please read this in-depth scouting report. So without further ado....
Vontaze Burfict, ILB, Arizona State University, 6'3, 250
Background/Character
This is an area that raises tons of red flags with Burfict. Throughout his career, on field maturity has been questioned and he he didn't help himself any during his junior year as the personal foul penalties continued to add up. Too often, Burfict lets his temper get the best of him and is often fouled for action past the whistle. He is an extremely emotional player who must learn to control those emotions as it hurts his play and his effort. During 2011 camp, Burfict threw a punch at a teammate in the locker room but no disciplinary action was taken. The silverlining with all these character concerns is that it hasn't translated to any off-field legal troubles. Burfict will take some plays off, particularly on passing downs when the ball is thrown away from him. He is often in position to use his athleticism to track down receivers along the sidelines but he doesn't always show the hustle to make those plays. Despite these issues, Burfict has been very productive registering over 220 tackles over his three years since starting as a true freshman.
Athletic-Ability
Burfict may be the best athlete at the Mike linebacker position coming out of college since Patrick Willis. While he's not at Willis' level athletically, Burfict possesses prototypical attributes for the position. At 6-3 and almost 260 pounds, Burfict has ideal size for a middle 'backer and has adequate length to help him prevent blockers from getting under his pads. He's a quick twitch athlete with good suddenness which makes it very difficult for blockers to get a clean shot at him. He shows the ability to plant and drive without taking any false steps and has an explosive element to his game. While he has good length, he plays low to the ground and can adjust his path in a flash if he needs to.
When Burfict is focused he really flashes good speed to track down ballcarriers all over the field. He has above average straight line speed and shows good footwork and short area quickness in close quarters which helps him shuffle through traffic to engage on the ballcarrier between the tackles. The only times you will see Burfict playing out of control is when he's not focused and he just throws his body into plays; plays in which he pops upright while going through the motions.
Overall-Linebacker
Burfict has ideal bulk and play strength for the position. He is stout and displays a great anchor at the point of attack. He explodes into contact and can easily blow up plays at the line of scrimmage or in a scrum. On film, Burfict seems to have adequate instincts but you'd like him to show better recognition skills for a top flight MLB prospect. However, once he has diagnosed the play he reacts quickly and usually takes smart angles.
Burfict's range vs the pass and run are excellent. He has true sideline to sideline speed and it is very tough to outrun him when he's at full speed in his pursuit. There are times where he is batting passes down 30 yards downfield in coverage. One of the most active linebackers in the country, Burfict can impact a game in so many ways in all facets of the game. His athleticism and phsyicality allow him to be productive in the pass and run game and he's been ASU's leading tackler and defensive playmaker in his first 3 years of playing. But aside from the maturity issues, Burfict's consistency in his hustle and motor are the second biggest concern.
Run-Technique
Burfict is a nightmare in the run game. His rare blend of strength and athleticism mixed with his tenacity and physicality vs the run forces opposing offenses to run away from Burfict. Burfict is a strong tackler who can really lay the lumber. He is a forceful and straight out mean tackler who drives through the ball carrier. His strong upper half and long arms make it especially difficult for ballcarriers to run through his grasp. He has the ability to bring down many ballcariers with just a swipe at their legs. However, when Burfict plays undisciplined football he has a tendency to lead with his helmet for the highlight hit and is prone to whiffing or missing the tackle.
Burfict is especially impressive taking on blocks and shedding to make the tackle. He has impressive power in his hips to deliver an explosive pop at the point and uses his hands well to disengage from blockers. He can also uses a quick swim move to maintain position against blockers to fill his gap. He gets into some trouble when he pops upright when he's not focused and gets shielded from the play, but he can use his athletic ability to accelerate to the play to make the tackle. He shows good control and burst in short areas and has a rare ability to quickly square up and explode into ballcarriers after being in less than ideal body positions.
Pass-Technique
The athleticism really pops out on film when you watch Burfict in coverage and when he rushes the passer. He's like a big safety in coverage with light feet and looks fluid when moving in all directions. What's really impressive is his hip flexibility in coverage to turn and run and then flip his hips back to square up for the tackle. In zone coverage, Burfict shows adequate instincts but could do a better job of anticipating the pass and the routes that cross his face. He gets good depth in his drops has quick hips to redirect to get a hand on the ball to break up the pass. In man coverage, Burfict can effortlessly turn and run with backs and tight ends.
He is adequate at tracking down the ball when it is near him but too often gives up on plays too early. As a pass rusher Burfict's natural athleticism made him a force in college but he will have to polish up his pass rush moves. He has great power to forge his way up the middle but could use his hands better when shedding from an outside track. He's difficult for most backs to block and he can hurdle them if they try and cut him. He has solid timing on blitzes and shows ideal burst to the QB.
Summary
Burfict is one of the most intimidating middle linebacker prospects to come out in recent memory. His fiery attitude and nose for the big hit have made him one of the most feared defenders the past couple of years but NFL teams should be weary of his mental makeup and attitude on the field. There are many players like Burfict that dominate at the college level and enter teh NFL with the attitude that their natural abilities will overshadow any character issues they come with. For these players, the light either comes on at some point or they fail to reach their full potential or worse, fail to hold a roster spot. What's most frustrating in evaluating Burfict is how many times teams have strategized to trigger Burfict's emotions and him biting almost every time.
Still, it will be tough for him to escape the 1st round in April's draft with all of his natural assets. He is a very athletically gifted player who is a difference maker as a three-down linebacker, something that is rare in today's wide open game. He has an impressive size/strength/athleticism combination. Dennis Erickson compared his natural abilities to that of one of his former players, Ray Lewis. Speaking in terms of natural ability and playmaking ability, this is not far fetched. The gap between the players is what lies between the ears (instincts, hustle, maturity). If Burfict can every get it together and dedicate himself to disciplined football, his career could absolutely resemble that of Lewis'. The thought of Burfict consistently playing with a high motor play after play is scary as he has the ability to become one of the most feared MLB's as soon as he steps on an NFL field. He is a classic boom or bust player, but the reward is too great compared to the risk.
http://optimumscouting.com/rankings/scouting-reports/nfl-draft-scouting-report-vontaze-burfict-ilb-arizona-state.html
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Revenge of the Birds' (ROTB) editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of ROTB's editors.
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Too big of a risk at 13
but will likely get drafted in the first round. Via Twitter, I read that the majority of scouts still think Burfict is a first round draft pick, likely going to either Detroit, Pittsburgh, or Baltimore
Follow me on Twitter at @AlexDavidson68
Talent-wise
he should be. But his play this year, and the red flags surrounding his aggressiveness will cause him to fall
Follow me on Twitter at @AlexDavidson68
Rather than red flags on his aggresiveness
I believe the red flags are on his discipline, decision making and attitude. The term ‘head-case’ is redefined by Burfict
by cardinalbrown on Feb 1, 2012 1:08 PM MST up reply actions
and all those issues (discipline, decision making and attitude) are related to his over-aggresiveness
Either way, he could be a great ILB, but could also very well be a bust. He needs to figure it out between the ears if he wants to be good.
Follow me on Twitter at @AlexDavidson68
I think
He has as good a chance to bust as he does to succeed with all his athletic ability and talent. Either way I think Burfict at 13 is way too much of a risk for our team. I can see those 3 teams mentioned being the only ones drafting him in the first round. He needs to have a good coaching staff and grizzled vets all around him to keep his head straight.
"If Gortat pulls off a real Dream Shake in-game this year I will shave my head.
Mark my words." Piotr Szczesniak 12/12/11 2:12 PM
Cardinals, Suns, D-backs for life!
So you mean he needs a good coaches like Whiz and Horton
And grizzled vets like Dockett, Wilson, Haggans, Fitz? I think his attitude will be in check in the NFL. When your the baddest dude in college football it can be easy to lose control, when your a rookie on an NFL team filled with guys like Dockett, you keep your mouth shut or get welcomed to the real world in a harsh way.
I don’t think he’ll come to the Steelers. I’ve been hearing that he’s not even on their board.
"If you havin' dragon problems I feel bad for you son, I got 99 arrows but my knee took one."
You never know come draft day, but i would agree with you
Pittsburgh was third of those three in my mind, in terms of likelihood of drafting Burfict. Baltimore seems like the most likely destination.
Follow me on Twitter at @AlexDavidson68
If we took him,
He would change the identity of our defense, no more finnese for the Cardinals
Formerly known as Cardsfan928, If you wanna grab a quick game of madden, my screenname is also my Xbox name.
by INSOMAN1ATIC on Feb 1, 2012 9:47 AM MST via mobile reply actions
If he drops...
to the 3rd or 4th, which may happen because of his attitude, then I would take him. He needs to move to OLB as well. He’s terrible in coverage and if you give him one goal, kill the QB, he’d be the next Suggs. ASU should have moved him to DE. I love that Detroit, Pitt, and Baltimore are his projected landing spots. Suh, Harrison, and Lewis would be his leaders/mentors! Anger Issues, Abusive Play, and a Murderer! Classic…that should straighten him out. I hope he goes to Minnesota and JA can teach him how to hunt with spears…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6oibNvAbtpc
As much as a headcase as he is
Unless he literally bombs the combine/interviews I cannot see any scenario where he is on the board that long. Someone will take a risk I just don’t think it will be in the top half of the first round.
"If Gortat pulls off a real Dream Shake in-game this year I will shave my head.
Mark my words." Piotr Szczesniak 12/12/11 2:12 PM
Cardinals, Suns, D-backs for life!
He's this years Tebow(without nearly as much hype)
All it takes is one team to fall in love with the guy and take a chance
Follow me on Twitter at @AlexDavidson68
Exactly
And I have a feeling someone with an established defense will gamble on someone with that kind of talent.
"If Gortat pulls off a real Dream Shake in-game this year I will shave my head.
Mark my words." Piotr Szczesniak 12/12/11 2:12 PM
Cardinals, Suns, D-backs for life!
Probably a better comparison is Dez Bryant or Jimmy Smith from last years draft
Physical skills = early first round stud
Mental side = mid round to late round
Still though, it only takes one…..
Go big or go home!! Bet big to win big!!
by Steamin' Beamin' on Feb 1, 2012 3:42 PM MST up reply actions
Jimmy Smith is a good comparison
and like Smith, Vontaze has been primarily mocked to the Ravens.
Follow me on Twitter at @AlexDavidson68
I can't imagine Whiz wanting to put up with the headache this guy would bring
He’s uber-talented, there’s no debate about that, but there is no chance that he’s worth the risk at 13th overall. He’s a guy that if you really want, you trade down into the later stages of the first but don’t reach for him at 13. I personally don’t want him at all though in the first.
Go big or go home!! Bet big to win big!!
by Steamin' Beamin' on Feb 1, 2012 3:10 PM MST reply actions
Dennis Erickson,
claimed he is just like Ray Lewis when he had him at Miami, only difference between now and then is the non stop reporting. Anyone who thinks the next Ray Lewis isn’t worth the 13th pick, please go check into an asylum.
Formerly known as Cardsfan928, If you wanna grab a quick game of madden, my screenname is also my Xbox name.
+1
Ray Lewis had attitude issues and was considered a “risk” and look where he is at! For as much as Burfict hated Ericson and Ericson didnt like burfict, Ericson still made the comment that Burfict is the 2nd coming of Ray Lewis. Thats telling right there.
Id personally love to draft him at #13. Its gonna be hilarious to look back and read all the bad press about him when he is dominating the NFL.
Ray Lewis
lasted until the 26th pick. Ray Lewis’ issues were off the field, not on. That the biggest issue. Burfict knows he can’t stay at ASU any longer as he’s failing out. He knows that he has the potential to be a high pick. He knows, or at least it’s been reported greatly, that his emotions on the field have to be curtailed. He knows that getting multiple personal fouls a game has to stop. Does he do any of those things?
Ray Lewis’s off the field issues never resulted in on field lack of performance. Burfict’s on field issues affected him even more this year with more to gain.
Burfict
won’t cut it in the NFL. Great football player but not smart enough to stay in the game. He was too intense over the past years and took too many penalties. This season he shut down and played at a lower level. He would have trouble adjusting the speed of the NFL and not giving up yardage from penalties. Not worth a top 15-20 pick in the draft.
I'd shut down,
if an agent (Rosenhaus) whispered your being drafted in the first round , and your main goal is to buy your mom a house with your first NFL paycheck (Like Burfict). What else would be left on a team with a head coach that already had one foot out the door? ASU’s football program was nothing short of a hot mess this season, from the bottom to the top.
Formerly known as Cardsfan928, If you wanna grab a quick game of madden, my screenname is also my Xbox name.
Seems like me and you are the only guys who understand how much of a mess ASU was this season
Burfict had no discipline thats why he had discipline problems. Ericson let those guys do whatever they wanted with no accountability or consequences. He totally lost that locker room and team by week 5, I couldnt blame him for giving up after the whole team crumbled and collapsed.
You cannot discount what he did prior to this season and only judge him from this season. He was in the nations top 3 LBs his sophomore season. But how come nobody looks at that?
Well most who don't like Burfict,
also believed Kolb was the second coming of Warner.
Formerly known as Cardsfan928, If you wanna grab a quick game of madden, my screenname is also my Xbox name.
I really hope nobody thought Kolb was the second coming of Warner
That would just be ridiculous
Follow me on Twitter at @AlexDavidson68
burfict is the next ray lewis
this guy is gonna be stellar just off the pure talent i hope he has a stellar combine to force whiz to pull the trigger on him he will bring cardinals defense to the next level look at the sorry 49ers how did they get into the playoffs by pure defense we need burfict to help us get there i wouldnt doubt if he even won droy
The combine pysch will interesting
because it could explain alot. If the Cardinals can identify why he didn’t “get it” in college and invest in resolving the mental aspect, he would be a great talent to add. But they shouldn’t draft him if they are going to take those steps to help him succeed.
Burfict,
The good: He is the next Ray Lewis
The bad: He is the next Odel Thurmann
Formerly known as Cardsfan928, If you wanna grab a quick game of madden, my screenname is also my Xbox name.
no... so why not move on to another subject right? lol.
"The point is, by my standards, I won fair and square."
-Bender
I tend to agree with you
But lets not speak in absolutes. If Ray Horton likes him and sees the talent there, we could very well take him. Remember he coached and was around another great LB that has the same concerns as Burfict in James Harrison, but he is still a great player and Horton could see some Harrison in him. Big….. no, HUGE chance that DOESNT happen but there is always a possibility is all im saying.

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