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NFL picks against the spread: Don't fear Texans' huge spread, steer clear of Cowboys.

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Jonathan Daniel

We give our ATS picks for Sunday's early games.

It is that time again and the early Sunday games for Week 11 feature your Arizona Cardinals, a classic NFC East showdown between the Redskins and Eagles and also a good NFC North game between the Lions and Packers.

Here is how we would place wagers against the spread:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1) at Carolina Panthers: Tampa stops the run well. Carolina can really only run well to be effective. Tampa already beat the Panthers once this year. You have to like them again. Pick: Bucs, -1.

Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-10.5): This line is too big. The Cards had the bye to prepare for the Falcons. Again, despite their recent struggles, their defense has been able to stop some pretty decent quarterbacks. Pick: Cardinals, +10.5.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (-3.5): It doesn't look like Michael Vick will play. With that being the case, you can't really believe that the Eagles mess will win with a rookie backup. Pick: Skins, -3.5.

New York Jets at St. Louis Rams (-3.5): The whole Tim Tebow is terrible fiasco is going to end with a Jets win. St. Louis looks better having played to a tie against the Niners, but look for a letdown. Pick: Jets, +3.5.

Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) at Kansas City Chiefs: The only way I take the Chiefs here is if Andy Dalton gets hurt. Pick: Bengals, -3.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-16.5): The Jags haven't covered on the road yet this year. They are terrible and the Texans happen to be pretty good. Despite the line, still over 58 percent of the money is coming in on Houston's side. Pick: Texans, -16.5.

Green Bay Packers (-3.5) at Detroit Lions: My only take on this is that Aaron Rodgers is playing well. You can't bet against that, especially when the line is tight. Pick: Packers, -3.5.

Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys (-9): Dallas is coming off of a game where they put up 38 points. However, Dallas has been terrible against the spread at home -- 2-12 in their last 14 games. Dallas will win, but Cleveland is going to make things interesting. Pick: Browns, +9.

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