How have your against the spread picks gone? Mines aren't going so hot. But this week I am due. There are a couple of big lines with the Patriots playing the Bills and the Ravens playing the Raiders. But I'm not scared of those lines. Read what my picks are for the early Sunday games.
San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3): The Bucs have been playing well, but the Chargers are dangerous enough to cause problems. Plus, they like to start playing well in the second half of seasons. Here we are. Pick: Chargers +3.
Atlanta Falcons (-1) at New Orleans Saints: This is the upset alert game. Atlanta has been waiting and waiting for someone to beat them. Coming off a solid win over the Eagles, this is where the Saints show up and shock the league. Pick: Saints, +1.
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-12.5): Even with the big line, 65 percent of the money is still going with the Pats. Like they always say, follow the money. Plus, I just can't see going against Tom Brady at home against a mediocre team. Pick: Pats, -12.5.
Detroit Lions (-1) at Minnesota Vikings: Adrian Peterson keeps looking like a cyborg with speed. Detroit is hurt at wideout, as neither Calvin Johnson nor Titus Young have practiced this week. Plus, Minny is at home. 62 percent of the money is going Detroit's way, but I'll take the home team. Pick: Vikes, +1.
Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (-7): You saw what the Bears did to the Titans? It was painful. Miami has a physical run game and Ryan Tannehill is playing well. Plus, the Dolphins defense is pretty good. Sorry, Hasselbeck. Pick: Fins, -7.
NY Giants (-3.5) at Cincinnati Bengals: The Giants like a little adversity. The lost to the Steelers and Tom Coughlin referred to the team's defense as mush. Look for them to bounce back. Plus, Eli Manning historically is solid on the road. Pick: Giants, -3.5.
Denver Broncos (-4) at Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton showed up Robert Griffin, III last week in a win over the Redskins at home, but this is Peyton Manning, who has five straight games of throwing at least three touchdowns. Pick: Broncos, -4.
Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens (-9): Oakland is without Darren McFadden, so they are left with Carson Palmer to face a team that knows him very well. Baltimore can put up points and the Raiders are prone to give them up. I'm not afraid of this line. Give up the points. Pick: Ravens -9.