Week 6 has already begun and while the Chicago Bears came away with a win on Thursday night, it was the bettors that placed their wages on Eli Manning and the Giants that came away with a win against the spread. That made the start of my week of picks against the Vegas spread go with a zero.
What about the rest of the games this week?
Here are my best guesses and where I would place wages if I actually were a gambler. As for last week, it was bad. I went 5-9. Yuck. Overall, I am 39-36-2, including Thursday night's game.
Lions (-2.5) at Browns: The trend is not good for Detroit, who are 3-15 against the spread as road favorites. However, with Brandon Weeden again at quarterback, I expect a Lions win, and since the line is less than a field goal, I feel confident to going with Detroit and give away the 2.5.
Raiders at Chiefs (-9): Oakland has some magical power over the Chiefs on the road. KC has lost six straight at home to the Raiders. More importantly, they have only covered one of their last 14 games against Oakland. This spread is too high. I'm taking the points -- Raiders +9.
Eagles (-1) at Buccaneers: You get the thrilling matchup of Mike Glennon and Nick Foles. I wouldn't be confident in wagering on this game, but the trend shows which way I would go if I had to -- Tampa is 4-16 ATS as a home underdog. Pick; Eagles, -1.
Saints at Patriots (-2.5): Are the Saints unbeatable? Can they be stopped? I don't think the Pats can. Without Rob Gronkowski, the NE offense is toothless, and the Saints defense will harass Tom Brady. Pick: Saints +2.5.
Cardinals at 49ers (-10.5): Arizona is 4-1 ATS this season and have played four very close games. Their third ranked rush defense will keep San Fran's rushing attack in check. It will be a nail biter. I've got the Cards covering this one.
Redskins at Cowboys (-5.5): While 72 percent of Dallas' games over the last four seasons the underdog covers, after their heartbreaking loss to the Broncos, I expect the Cowboys to come out roaring. Pick: Cowboys -5.5.
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- Cardinals vs. 49ers preview: Niners Nation joins show on Revenge of the Birds Radio podcast
- Panthers vs. Cardinals review: Calais Campbell defense’s biggest star, Rob Housler awful according to PFF
- 10/11 Arizona Cardinals news: Ta'amu, Sowell making large impacts; Housler, Roberts falling flat