Hey y’all, I wanted to come here to post an analysis on this year’s quarterbacks that I did. I’m actually a Dolphins fan and did something similar last year when our QB situation was up in the air (posted on Finheaven.com somewhere), but I figured I’d post my analysis here for you guys to check out. I've posted it around on the SBNation Jags and Chiefs blogs, and I figured since you guys have a few posts about Barkley, you might be interested as well.
These stats are based off of me watching game film and writing down the factors that go into a play. I marked down where the ball was caught, what the formation was, why the ball was incomplete and many more factors. In each section, I’m going to post the relevant chart and then make comments on it. I reference the AvgQB a lot, that's a composite on last year's entire QB class. So let’s delve into the QB class.
This one requires a bit of explanation. The color coding are comparisons to the AvgQB, thus green is above average, yellow is average, and red is below average. I have also taken out drops, for what I call the Perfect Receiver Rating, thus the completion percentages aren’t what you’d see in the box scores.
Adjusted Completion %
The last bit of information I have is going to require a bit of explanation. My goal was to take out the variability of systems they all played in. Thus, how would Geno Smith have performed in Mike Glennon’s shoes? This is imperfect, but it gives you a feel for how the systems helped or harmed them.
What I’ve done is taken out drops and then used my composite of targets in each zone from last year’s QBs to create an average system. Thus, I took their completion percentages, total passes, and the average system to find out what their overall completion percentage would have been in the average system.
That’s all I have for y’all right now. I actually have a lot more data like yardage by quarter, the type of incompletions (drops, single coverage, overthrows), completion percentage by down and red zone yardage.It's a lot, so to keep it brief I left it off. You can get the rest of that info here:
Also I’ve got more detailed individual breakdowns on Geno Smith, Matt Barkley, and Tyler Wilson, I’ll have one up on Mike Glennon later. I wanted to post it here because when I did this stuff for my Dolphins last year, I was so much more informed going into the draft. Hope this can help y'all out too!
Here are the individual breakdowns, it's similar data to what's posted above, but sometimes it helps to look at each QB in a vacuum:
Good luck in the draft/upcoming season and thanks for reading.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Revenge of the Birds' (ROTB) editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of ROTB's editors.