The NFL draft is coming at last. Certain teams have the advantage of a higher number of draft picks. There has been some concern that the Sf 49ers have 11 picks; six in the top 100. . Picks at the top of the round have the greatest hope of success in the coming years. The Rams and the Browns have extra picks in the first round and look to have superior drafts. I ran 40 simulations of the draft on fanspeak to get a clear picture of the draft.
There has been much conjecture of trading up and down based on the common observation that "it’s a deep draft, we can trade down" The It is a deep draft for every team. there is less of a need for many teams to trade up in a deep draft. Who would trade with us? Not the Rams or 49ers. The Browns represent the best chance but why should they trade with us? Only if the Browns worry that a player will be gone at 20 would feel the need to offer the 26th pick and a 3rd round choice. More likely is the Browns would trade with the Seahawks to jump over the Texans at the top of the second round. I am not considering trades in the mocks.
The following is a good example of a mock draft that shows the way talent falls
OLB Khalil Mack; WR Mike Evans, CB Lamarcus Joyner, DT Doninique Easley, OT Charles Leno, RB Jerick McKinnon, G Anthony Steen, ILB Preston Brown, Brett Smith Walt Aikens JC Copeland, Maruice Alexander
WR Sammy Watkins, CB Darqueze Dennard, G Gabe Jackson, QB Zack Mettenberger, ILB Yawin Smallwood, S Jonathan Dowling, RB Kadeem Carey, C Gabe Ikard, DE Cassius Marsh, TE R Blanchflower,
DE Jadeveon clowney, OLB Ryan Shazier, OT Seantrel Henderson, RB Carlos Hyde, TE Xavier Grimble, RB Tre Mason, S Vinnie Sunseri, OLB Jonathan Brown TE A C Leonard, P Pat O’Donnell
S Hasean Clinton Dix, TE Eric Ebron, CB Stanley Jean Baptiste, WR Josh Huff, OT James Hurst, RB Dri Archer
CB Kyle Fuller, WR Jordan Matthews, RB Bishop Sankey, DT Daniel McCollers, C Marcus Martin, DE Demarcus Lawrence, G Michael Schofield, QB Tom Savage, ILB Brock Coyle, CB Carrington Byndom, RB Lorenzo Taliaferro.
It is easy to poke holes in the choices the computer simulation has made; its not likely the Falcons will take Tre Mason as the 147th pick after they picked up Carlos Hyde with pick number 103. The simulation shows us the way talent board will work even if it varies from team to team. It doesn’t matter that the Falcons take Tre Mason, another team will, he won’t likely be there for the Cardinals at 160 or the 49ers at 170. Don’t think Shazier will be there at 37? I agree. One third of the time he was my pick at 20.
For example, 20 LB Ryan Shazier,, 52, S Deone Bucannon, 84 CB Stanley Jean-Baptiste, 120 WR Donte Moncrief, 160 TE Xavier Grimble, 196 DE Ben Dardner.
Or 20 CB Justin Gilbert, 52 G Xavier Sua-Filo, 84 DE Trent Murphy, 120 WR Jared Abbrederis, 160 RB Andre Williams, 196 C Russell Bodine
What is key that the mock drafts proved was the weakness of the 49er drafting position. The Rams and Browns have three picks before the 49er second pick in the draft at #56 and they win with three potential starters. the Falcons and Cardinals get two starters and the 49ers only one likely starter.