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NFL Picks against the spread: Look for Saints in road upset on Thursday night

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This time, the Falcons will not be so lucky at the end of the game.

Chris Graythen

Thursday Night Football has arrived and finally we have a good matchup. Remember that TNF would kick off with Thanksgiving and then we would see pretty good games? I guess that is the case now, only there were Thursday night games before. This week, there is an NFC South tilt between the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints.

The Vegas line has the Falcons favored by 3.5 points, just slightly more than a standard home spread. The Saints, After an 0-4 start, have battled back to 5-6, while the Falcons still sit at 10-1, their only loss being to the Saints in New Orleans. However, whether it is luck or skill, Atlanta has been living on the edge, winning several games that came down to the final minute and even won a game in which they had six turnovers.

Knowing that, you have to figure with these two high-powered offenses, it will be a good one. With the play of both teams, the money is going more for the underdog -- over 53 percent of bets are taking New Orleans.

Yes, revenge is a factor. Yes, the home team has been the smart pick on Thursdays most of the season, but the play of Drew Brees combined with the shaky wins that the Falcons have had, we make our ATS pick, taking the Saints and the points.

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