Alas, the season is upon us. No longer do we have to suffer through long Sunday afternoons of golf and NASCAR. No longer does the "Honey Do" list consist of 87 items every weekend. She understands. It's football season, and those gutters can wait until the spring.
For the Arizona Cardinals to beat the St. Louis Rams Sunday, these three things must be done. Are these three keys to the game the end-all, be-all of what must happen? Of course not. But without them, it will be difficult to walk away victorious.
Contain Rams' defensive ends
The second meeting of these two teams last season, Rams defensive ends Robert Quinn and Chris Long were held sack-less. By that time, the offensive line had leveled out and was playing well -- not great, but much better than it had been early in the season.
But that first game, Week 5 in St. Louis with the No. 1 team in the conference rolling in, the Rams sacked Cardinals
quarterback Kevin Kolb nine times (re-watch all nine sacks here if you want).
Quinn and Long combined for four of those sacks and 20 of the 46 total pressures on Kolb.
That was the beginning of the end for Kolb and the then-4-0 Cardinals.
This season, the tackles are better. Left tackle Levi Brown performed as expected this preseason (minus a bad date with Dwight Freeney), and right tackle Eric Winston is a very adept pass-protector.
Quinn and Long could switch sides from time to time, but for the vast majority of the day, Quinn will be matched up with Brown, and Long will have Winston.
Arizona must score first
With Sam Bradford as its starter, St. Louis is 9-14 (.391) when the opponent scores first. However, when the Rams score first, they are just 6-12-1 (.315).
There is probably an array of reasons for that, but none of them matter here. The fact is that in six games, Bradford is 1-1 against the Cardinals when scoring first, but he's 1-3 when Arizona scores first.
Coach Bruce Arians prefers having the ball at the outset, and this next stat is a perfect reason for that. Since 2000, the Cardinals are 43-39 (.524) when scoring first but just 37-89 (.294) when they don't. Considering the team's history, the former is more surprising than the latter.
A healthy running game will aid in that effort in the event the Cardinals are fortuitous enough to win the toss. Rashard Mendenhall ran well during the preseason and is "more than ready" for Week 1 according to Arians via Darren Urban of AZCardinals.com. Arians also said Ryan Williams is at full speed and that the team is "fully healthy" at running back.
We know Carson Palmer will throw it all around the yard, but without Mendenhall and Williams gaining chunks at a time, the offense won't work the way it should.
Be stout up front against the run
General manager Steve Keim worked hard this offseason to improve a defense that finished near the bottom of the
league in rush yards per attempt allowed last season -- they were No. 22, allowing 4.33 YPC.
Holding the Rams to under 4.0 yards per carry is a good start. In 2012, Arizona was 4-4 (.500) when the opposition averaged 3.9 yards per carry or fewer. That winning percentage tied for 14th in the NFL.
But when allowing 4.0 yards per carry or more, the team went just 1-7 (.125) -- tying the Oakland Raiders for 29th in winning percentage.
St. Louis lost Steven Jackson to free agency this offseason when he signed with the Atlanta Falcons, but the Rams seem confident in starting 2012 seventh-round pick Daryl Richardson. There isn't much depth at the position behind Richardson, so for their sake, they better be right about him.
Arizona's new additions to the front seven should help improve the run defense. Linebackers Jasper Brinkley, Lorenzo Alexander and Matt Shaughnessy are notorious for their ability to stop the run. Karlos Dansby also is no slouch against the run, so executing Sunday should leave the team in a good spot.
Matchup to watch: Tyrann Mathieu vs. Tavon Austin
If these two rookies' careers go as they are projected, we will see this matchup twice per season for many years. Tyrann Mathieu was asked by reporters recently about his matchup with Tavon Austin:
"He's not a real vertical guy," Mathieu said. "He kind of works within 10 yards. He's very shifty, very quick. People say he's fast. I think he's more quick than fast. I think if you stay square on him and really get in his face at the line of scrimmage, I think you can challenge him and make things rough on him."
Though both are smaller than your average NFL player, Mathieu has a distinct advantage in the physicality department, while Austin is quicker and faster. Which rookie can take away whose strength?
This will be fun to watch.
More from Revenge of the Birds:
- 2013 NFL picks against the spread: Take the champions on the road to open the season?
- NFL Picks: The ROTB writers take on Week 1
- Revisiting Arizona Cardinals' 2013 off-season moves
- Nate Potter to get work in at guard...finally
- Arizona Cardinals name their captains