Mediocrity is the name of the game for me and my weekly picks against the Vegas spread. Last week I was 7-8-1. On the season, I am right at .500 -- 103-103-2. Just flip a coin.
Here are my picks for the rest of the week.
Raiders at Chiefs (-10): Big spread. You would think the Chiefs will have revenge on their mind. However, Oakland is playing better. Plus, AFC West divisional games tend to be close. I'll take the points here.
Bucs at Panthers (-3): Derek Anderson? No problem. It's the Bucs. I'll take the Panthers.
26 Top Vegas Trends
(ATS = against the spread; covered means covered the spread)
49ers (+10 at Seattle): First time San Francisco a double digit underdog in Coach Harbaugh era
49ers on the road: lost against the spread only 4 of their last 17
49ers following a loss as a favorite: lost against the spread their next game only 3 of last 20
Bears at home: covered only 3 of last 16
Bills after losing on road: 23-6 ATS their next game
Broncos (-4 at Chargers): 42nd game out of last 44 that Denver has been favored
Browns (-1 hosting Bengals): Favorite has covered only 2 of last 15 games in this series
Bucs in December: 10-26-1 ATS
Chiefs (-10 hosting Raiders): KC as favorites against division opponents: 2-14 ATS
Chiefs have covered only 2 of last 15 vs. Raiders
Colts vs. division opponents: 11-0 ATS
Cowboys (+3.5 at Philly): Underdog has covered 24 of 32 in this series
Cowboys as underdogs by more than a field goal: 14-3 ATS
Eagles at home: covered only 11 of last 35
Falcons off loss by 6 or more points: 21-7 ATS
Jets (-2.5 at Tennessee): Only 2nd team with 2-11 record to be a road favorite (data goes back 25 seasons)
Lions after scoring 30+ points last week: 1-13 ATS
[Lions] NFL team playing 3rd straight home game, after winning first two: 33-57-1 ATS (37% since 1990)
Packers in December: 23-12 ATS
Panthers in December: 23-11 ATS
Patriots at home (not laying double digits): 15-3 ATS
Patriots seeking revenge against division opponents: 15-3 ATS
Raiders as road underdogs against division opponents: 19-6 ATS
Seahawks have covered 6 straight vs. 49ers
Steelers as road favorites: 3-11 ATS
Titans: 3-15 ATS last 18 games
>>> Comprehensive report of over 200 NFL Vegas trends, stats, and tips will be tweeted on Wednesdayafternoon from: @RJinVegas