:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/45567686/usa-today-8348506.0.jpg)
We are just a few days from the big game at University of Phoenix Stadium. The 49th Super Bowl is this Sunday and everyone will be watching a viewing audience approaching 200 million is expected.
Who will win? Well, if we are to believe the Prediction Machine, the Seattle Seahawks will be defending champs. The machine simulated the game 50,000 times and the Seahawks were winners 57 percent of the time, winning by an average of 24-20.
If you are looking at the spread (the game was run at New England -1.5), then Seattle beat the spread over 60 percent of the time.
Here are the results:
|
Picks |
|
|
New England Patriots Win% |
42.7% |
|
Seattle Seahawks Win% |
57.3% |
|
Straight Up Pick |
Seattle Seahawks |
|
Current Spread |
SEA +1.5 |
|
Against the Spread Pick |
|
|
Total |
48.5 |
|
O/U Pick |
|
Team Stats (avg. from 50,000 games):
|
New England Patriots |
Seattle Seahawks |
|
|
Points |
20.3 |
23.5 |
|
Total Yards |
302.4 |
350.7 |
|
Passing Yards |
221.7 |
182.4 |
|
Yards-Per-Pass |
5.7 |
6.1 |
|
Passing TDs |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
Sacked |
2.1 |
2.4 |
|
Sacked Yards Lost |
13.4 |
15.1 |
|
Rushing Yards |
80.7 |
168.3 |
|
Rushes |
23.6 |
32.6 |
|
Yards-Per-Rush |
3.4 |
5.2 |
|
Rushing TDs |
0.8 |
1.2 |
|
Penalties |
6.1 |
5.0 |
|
Penalty Yards |
48.1 |
45.4 |
|
Turnovers |
1.1 |
1.1 |
|
FGA |
1.7 |
2.3 |
|
FGM |
1.6 |
2.0 |
Player Stats (avg. from 50,000 games):
New England Patriots Passing
|
Player |
Comp |
Att |
Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
FPs |
|
Tom Brady |
24.3 |
38.7 |
235.1 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
16.3 |
Seattle Seahawks Passing
|
Player |
Comp |
Att |
Yards |
TDs |
INTs |
FPs |
|
Russell Wilson |
18.2 |
30.1 |
197.5 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
21.2 |
New England Patriots Rushing
|
Player |
Rushes |
Yards |
Avg. |
Rush TDs |
FPs |
|
LeGarrette Blount |
16.4 |
58.7 |
3.6 |
0.6 |
9.8 |
|
Shane Vereen |
3.5 |
12.7 |
3.6 |
0.1 |
4.9 |
|
Julian Edelman |
0.8 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
0.0 |
7.8 |
|
Tom Brady |
2.2 |
3.1 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
16.3 |
|
Jonas Gray |
0.6 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
Seattle Seahawks Rushing
|
Player |
Rushes |
Yards |
Avg. |
Rush TDs |
FPs |
|
Marshawn Lynch |
21.2 |
100.7 |
4.8 |
0.8 |
18.9 |
|
Russell Wilson |
6.5 |
47.1 |
7.2 |
0.4 |
21.2 |
|
Robert Turbin |
4.9 |
20.5 |
4.2 |
0.0 |
2.4 |
New England Patriots Receiving
|
Player |
Receptions |
Yards |
Avg. |
Rec TDs |
FPs |
|
Rob Gronkowski |
5.8 |
70.7 |
12.2 |
0.6 |
10.7 |
|
Julian Edelman |
6.7 |
61.6 |
9.2 |
0.2 |
7.8 |
|
Brandon LaFell |
4.2 |
48.5 |
11.5 |
0.3 |
6.7 |
|
Shane Vereen |
3.3 |
24.7 |
7.5 |
0.1 |
4.9 |
|
Danny Amendola |
2.1 |
14.0 |
6.7 |
0.1 |
2.0 |
|
Tim Wright |
1.0 |
8.5 |
8.5 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
|
James Develin |
0.6 |
3.8 |
6.3 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
|
LeGarrette Blount |
0.6 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
0.0 |
9.8 |
Seattle Seahawks Receiving
|
Player |
Receptions |
Yards |
Avg. |
Rec TDs |
FPs |
|
Doug Baldwin |
4.9 |
54.8 |
11.2 |
0.3 |
7.3 |
|
Jermaine Kearse |
4.0 |
48.8 |
12.2 |
0.3 |
6.7 |
|
Luke Willson |
3.6 |
43.4 |
12.1 |
0.3 |
6.1 |
|
Ricardo Lockette |
1.6 |
23.1 |
14.4 |
0.1 |
2.9 |
|
Marshawn Lynch |
2.9 |
22.1 |
7.6 |
0.3 |
18.9 |
|
Robert Turbin |
0.5 |
3.5 |
7.0 |
0.0 |
2.4 |
|
Will Tukuafu |
0.5 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
How do you think the game will go?Which team are you rooting for and why?