It is time for my picks against the spread for Week 6. I hope you didn't follow my advice last week too much. I ended up a very poor 5-9. Yuck. That puts me at 42-34-1 overall. Maybe flipping a coin could be good thing. I also picked the first game of the week wrong already, too. It's like it is hard to predict what happen in the NFL.
But if you still are looking for gambling advice, I have it. Just remember I don't gamble myself. These are the picks I would make if I were to gamble.
Any trends included come from the Trend Machine.
Bengals (-3.5) at Bills: Buffalo has a good track record in this situation. They are 9-6 ATS against undefeated teams with at least four wins. Cincinnati sits at 5-0, but is on the road. But with Tyrod Taylor perhaps sitting this game out, no way do I trust the Bills. Bengals -3.5.
Broncos (-4) at Browns: Despite his 2015 struggles, Peyton Manning is 15-7 ATS as a road favorite. And that defense? It is stifling,. The Browns surprised me last week, but I don't see Josh McCown performing like that this week. Broncos -4.
Bears at Lions (-3): Amazingly enough, the Lions are favored. Coming off a very bad loss to the Cardinals, they will come out upset, especially against a division rival. 0-5 teams tend to do well ATS (43-34-1) and The Lions also covered in 2008 en route to their 0-16 season. Covering here means winning. I can see it. Lions -3.
Dolphins at Titans (-2.5): The Titans are still trying to learn how to win. The Dolphins are now under new leadership. Will those Oklahoma drills make the difference? Trends go either way. The Titans are 17-8-1 ATS against teams coming off the bye, while the Dolphins are 7-4-1 ATS after a bye and as road dogs. Titans -2.5.
Cardinals (-3) at Steelers: The bottom line is Michael Vick is starting for the Steelers. With a high-powered offense like Arizona, the Steelers need their high-powered offense with their starting quarterback. This is easy to me. If the Cardinals are really any good, this is a game they should win handily. Cardinals -3.
Texans (-1.5) at Jaguars: Blake Bortles will play, but he is not 100 percent. The trends are bad for both teams. Don't bet this game, if I am being honest. But if I have to pick one, Texans -1.5. I like the Houston defense more.
Panthers at Seahawks (-6.5): As much as I want to see Seattle lose, I don't think they will, especially at home. Carolina has been winning with chicken wire and duct tape so far. Nonetheless, I see this as a close game. The defenses will keep it that way. Seahawks for the win, but Panthers for the cover. Panthers +6.5.
Patriots (-7.5) at Colts: Bill Belichick will be relentless, as will Tom Brady. This is going to be ugly, no matter who plays quarterback for the Pats. DeflateGate was reportedly started by the Colts. It will be ugly. I rarely bet against Tom Brady. I did last week and he taught me my lesson. Put you money on Tom. Pats -7.5.