Do they take Kyler Murray, sending Nick Bosa to the 49ers and let the dominoes fall after that?
Will Kyler Murray be the pick at one but for the Oakland Raiders?
1. Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
Offseason needs: Interior defensive line, wide receiver, tight end, slot cornerback
How exactly did Murray ascend to being the likely first overall pick in the draft? It goes far beyond his Heisman accolade and superstar athleticism. Murray isn’t the presumed top pick simply because he can run fast, or because he reminds people of some combination of Baker Mayfield, Russell Wilson, and prime Michael Vick. Murray is just a damn good passer.
An advanced stats dive in the Sports Info Solutions Rookie Handbook has Murray rated the highest in six different categories at the position. That includes things like on-target percentage (basically the percent of catchable throws), pass yards per attempt, and plain old passer rating. Pro Football Focus rates Murray the best at completion percent against pressure and second in total adjusted completion percentage. If your eyes don’t tell you Murray is a legit quarterback, the numbers do.
There’s been a number of pieces written in the last several days that have shown that some of the narratives, Murray doesn’t throw short well, he can’t throw from the pocket, are not just bad analysis, they are wrong.
How does Kyler Murray fare throwing by distance?— Sports Info Solutions (@SportsInfo_SIS) April 1, 2019
This video walks you through our charting data. pic.twitter.com/jjWevMg94p
Last season, plays INSIDE the pocket, removing screens:— Sam Monson (@PFF_Sam) February 12, 2019
Kyler Murray #1 PFF grade in the nation (94.8)
12.3 YPA (#1)
75.7% adjusted comp rate (#7)
138.6 passer rating (#1).
Kyler Murray can play inside the pocket. https://t.co/qlgmOUSzLZ
That doesn’t mean I agree with Murray being the pick, it would still not be my first choice.
However, if the questions are about his game, they seem to be answered with what he proved in college.