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Kenyan Drake's 2020 statistical projection seems a bit low

Cleveland Browns v Arizona Cardinals Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Much is expected of Kenyan Drake in the 2020 NFL season.

Playing under the transition tag, Drake has the seventh highest cap hit of any running back in the NFL in 2020.

That’s why when you look at statistical projections heading into the season, it is interesting to see where Drake falls.

For the season, Fantasy Pros consensus projects Drake to have the following line:

209 carries 948 yards 4.53 yards per carry 8 TDs

54 receptions 419 yards 2 TDs

So, on the season they project that Drake will have 1,367 yards from scrimmage along with 10 total touchdowns.

They have Drake finishing 12th in rushing and 11th in receiving yards.

The Cardinals are paying Drake well, but would that production be enough for the salary?

The efficiency would be good, Drake averaging 5.2 yards per touch is not bad, but the bang doesn’t seem worth the buck.

I think the usage projection is a bit low, as Drake had 123 carries in eight games for 643 yards with the Cardinals.

Obviously a straight doubling isn’t going to be accurate, but I feel like Drake is going to be closer to 250 carries on the season, especially with the knowledge that the Cardinals may not bring him back. Use him up and find a new running back.

263 total touches feels like it would be a bit light for Drake.

What do you think?