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Johnny’s First Round Mock Draft 1.0

The first of two mocks I’ll release ahead of next Thursday’s first round.

Syndication: The Montgomery Advertiser Mickey Welsh via Imagn Content Services, LLC

If you haven’t checked out our most recent episode of the Revenge of the Birds podcast featuring draft insider Tony Pauline, it is highly recommended listening for anyone interested in some premier draft insight.

Tony not only touches on who he believes the Cardinals are targeting at 16, but also makes some pretty bold claims on several key teams picking ahead of Arizona.

With that, now seems timely to release my first official mock draft ahead of next Thursday’s first round. I will do my second and final mock this time next week.

So here we go...


1. Jacksonville Jaguars – Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson

This is the lock of the draft with Urban practically acknowledging Lawrence by name as the team’s current signal caller.

2. New York Jets – Zach Wilson, QB, BYU

Wilson to the Jets also appears like a done deal, however I am personally less than convinced he has the physical tools to succeed for what could be classified as an expansion team (talent wise).

3. San Francisco 49ers – Mac Jones, QB, Alabama

I am doing my best to will this pick into existence but even I will admit I’ll believe it when I see it.

4. Atlanta Falcons – Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida

Their demands for a trade down have been so outlandishness which only reaffirms my thinking they can’t be talked out of Kyle Pitts.

5. Cincinnati Bengals – Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon

You can’t convince me that conservative Cincinnati, after watching Joe Burrow’s knee snap in half, isn’t taking a top offensive tackle.

6. Miami Dolphins – Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU

Dream scenario for Miami as they trade back up hoping to land either Pitts or Chase.

7. (TRADE - 2022 1st Round Pick) New England Patriots – Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State

New England is coming up for a quarterback and I believe it’s for the more raw Lance who can sit behind Cam Newton for a season.

8. Carolina Panthers – Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern

Slater could very well go to Cinci at five but lands with a Panther team dead set on protecting newly acquired Sam Darnold.

9. Denver Broncos – Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State

The Broncos are a wild card in the top 10 but luck out as Fields falls right into their lap.

10. Dallas Cowboys – Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama

Pairing Surtain with his former Alabama running mate Trevon Diggs makes too much sense not to happen.

11. New York Giants – Alijah Vera-Tucker, OG, USC

Tony Pauline suggested that Vera-Tucker could go much higher than people think and the Giants seem like a logical fit at 11.

12. Philadelphia Eagles – Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina

I don’t think the Eagles love any of these receivers outside of Chase and desperately need youth and athleticism inserted in their secondary.

13. Los Angeles Chargers – Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama

Maybe the hardest team to peg in the top half of the draft, LA gets the uber athletic chess piece in Waddle.

14. Minnesota Vikings – Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama

The Vikings were atrocious last year against the run and Mike Zimmer knows that has to change if he wants to stick around post 2021.

15. (TRADE) Detroit Lions – Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State

Great value for a rebuilding Detroit team that has all kinds of needs, as Parsons immediately becomes their defensive field general.

16. Arizona Cardinals – DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama

17. Las Vegas Raiders – Zaven Collins, OLB, Tulsa

Raiders have gone offensive heavy in the first round since Gruden arrived so I think they pivot and swing for the fences on a player like Collins.

18. Miami Dolphins – Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech

With Chase the pick at six, offensive tackle reasserts itself as Miami’s top need.

19. Washington Football Team – Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU

With no realistic quarterback insight, Ron Rivera continues to bolster what could end up being the league’s top defense.

20. Chicago Bears – Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan

Much like Washington, the Bears are forced to double down on a strength while taking some heat off Khalil Mack.

21. Indianapolis Colts – Greg Newsome, CB, Northwestern

A Newsome pairing with this Colts administration feels like a match made in football heaven.

22. Tennessee Titans – Caleb Farely, CB, Virginia Tech

The Titans are in complete rebuild mold when it comes to their secondary and they could do far worse than taking a flier on a player like Farely.

23. New York Jets – Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota

In order for Zach Wilson to succeed, the Jets can’t duplicate the same mistakes made with Sam Darnold and the lack of skilled players.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers – Najee Harris, RB, Alabama

This is a lazy, “groupthink” pick that I will fully own...but I love me some Najee Harris.

25. Jacksonville Jaguars – Creed Humphrey, OC, Oklahoma

The Jaguars wisely pair the draft’s top quarterback with the draft’s top center.

26. Cleveland Browns – Gregory Roussea, DE, Miami-FL

In what may be the most loaded roster in football, the Browns have the luxury of truly going BPA.

27. Baltimore Ravens – Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida

In the same mold of Curtis Samuel, Baltimore continues to flood their offense with unique play-makers in support of their quarterback.

28. New Orleans Saints – Jaelan Phillips, DE, Miami-FL

Cam Jordan will be 32 next season and Marcus Davenport hasn’t lived up to his draft slot.

29. Green Bay Packers – Azeez Ojulari, OLB, Georgia

The Packers would be wise to grab some edge pressure opposite Preston Smith, especially with their eye on another postseason run.

30. Buffalo Bills – Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson

While Buffalo has taken a mid round RB in each of the past two drafts, neither are in the same stratosphere as Etienne.

31. Kansas City Chiefs – Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State

Kansas City began free agency by releasing both of their starting offensive tackles, which I believe is an omen for their first round pick this year.

32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jayson Oweh, DE, Penn State

Much like Green Bay and Cleveland, when your roster is championship ready, you can afford to double down on elite edge pressure.

See you next week!